Order-Quantity, With Demand: Reorderpoint Model Probabilistic
Order-Quantity, With Demand: Reorderpoint Model Probabilistic
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Inventory refers to idle goods or materials held by an organization for use som---r .r
the future. Items carried in inventory include raw materials, purchased parts, comp_ ::
subassemblies, work-in-process, finished goods, and supplies. Two primary reaSrtri.: --l
nizations stock inventory are: (1) to take advantage of economies-of-scale that exi:: --.,,
the fixed cost of ordering items, and (2) to buffer against uncertainty in customer ,:.-* .,
or disruptions in supply. Even though inventory serves an important and esseni:. - r:.
Virtually every business uses some sort of inventory management model or Sl:-:- r
address the preceding questions. Hewlett-Packard works with its retailers ro::: -rl
termine the retailer's inventory replenishment strategies for the printers and t'-::' *iri
products. IBM developed inventory management policies for a range of n---. r
: .a itn entory pt'ocedure tronic parts that are used in IBM plants as well as sold to a number of outside - _ :
:: ,tribed for the drugstore ers. The Management Science in Action, Inventory Management at CVS Ccr, -_. ,
:':;;rsrn ls discussed in
describes an inventory system used to determine order quantities in the :--_ - nl
:::ail in Section 10.7.
industry.
The purpose of this chapter is to show how quantitative models c&r :: r
consider deterministic inventory models, for which we assume that the rate c: -: : *uL.
for the item is constant or nearly constant. Later we will consider probabilis:. - ' rl
tory models, for which the demand for the item fluctuates and can be descn:,: -
in probabi listic terms.
the replenishment quentity or order size each time each store's movement rather than on th; - - r,:,r,,
an order is placed. In most drugstore chains, basic movement. To minimize stock-outs the ::- rr-: i
products are ordered under a periodic review inven- ment quantity is set equal to the store's '.::- , *r
tory system, with the r-eview period being one week. demand 01: movement for the product.
The weekly review system uses electronic
ordering equipment that scans an order label af-
fixed to the shelf directly below each item. Among *Based on information provided by B::
-. :
other information on the label is the item's replen- (The inventory system described uas .-- .,.
ishment level or order-to-quantity. The store em- implemented in the CVS stores formerlr r-- ,
F -r.
I:.,,idearealistic 4 2000
ln' : ttnation of the J ?l,0a
fu; order quantity 6 2050
| :,mand is relatively 1 2000
fr i ;nd occurs aI a 8 tg'l5
f' nrrtont rotr.
9 1900
I
10 2000
i
I
Total cases 20.000
I
Average cases per week 2000
Strictly speaking, these weekly demand figures do not show a constant demand rate'
However, given the relatively low variability exhibited by the weekly demand, inventory
planning with a constant demand rate of2000 cases per week appears acceptable. In practice,
you will find that the actual inventory situation seldom, if ever, satisfies the assumptions of
the model exactly. Thus, in any particular application, the manager must determine whether
the model assumptions a.re close enough to reality for the model to be useful. In this situation,
because demand varies from a low of 1900 cases to a high of 2100 cases, the assumption of
constant demand of 2000 cases per week appears to be a reasonable approximation.
The how-much-to-order decision involves selecting an order quantity that draws a com-
promise between (1) keeping small inventories and ordering frequently, and (2) keeping
iarge inventories and ordering infrequently. The first alternative can result in undesirably
high ordering costs, while the second alternative can result in undesirably high inventory
nolaing costs. To find an optimal compromise between these conflicting alternatives, let
iliryu
illilllll
us consider a mathematical
moder that shows the
Aswithorherquantitative
*oJl:,:f:"^f:or,.' total cost as the sum
of the -: _ir:.rli
which is consiaerea _.
I
,,ji.h:.,,d ;;;;;::il'"-,Tjn[ HH:*:r,;,* ;;"^ "^.
;: o.er:--. : :
pavment'
t
tation,
tt
invoice
o.a..irg
verification."r.;.;;;;";:;'::'::'1c
receiving' and so on. F-o;
postage.
ntg ;LI";.t:"-;:
t.i.pl,. : -*:,rm
I
" "-
"-o,,-;nffi;1"''
tr':.:::#;#ft,.::"#ili:lffi,T#"'.:,i!",:?;1;ft
hour. the Iahar
u wage rate
fl,J;;"#n:_.:
and fringe benefit cosr fnr nr,"^r..
^^.,:^- :r^:n M#
H
cost, and demand inrormadon
-rrll! ?.,1#;:l ij*"'* or the EoQ model..After
are rhe rhree :- -
R&B probrem.
il1" atY:thow thev are used to a.u.lop*uo",Jooi.;'ri:;.= _-
we can
ov aennirg
o;r;.";;:""* ;;;;,"#, ,.
,t
"
uur.. o'r!?ii,]iffi ,1i#:lifi:L'|; ow-mu ch - to o,0". a".j
J. n .
-
orderi-ng costs.f;
tnventory r"r-ruu Beer
_,_ T:
size Q is received from
wilt have a *rr1':i 1Ovalue
of O unit. --
the c.nnr;o- D o n .,, -tt"' ',,,
Figure l0.I
ro.l shows inven+^*, ,
,,r. ir*rao.;ffiH
strowsire at a constant rate
rare o\::
Lr\:- ---
'-- :; -| .
$B$ilsffi*
"*S"! INVENTORY FOR BUB BEER
h
Average
t tlto Inventory
T
\\
Length of time required to
deplete an inventorY of P units
Tirne
rO
s
- *Average
t/2A Inventory
{ t{i, } .}
Crr = /C
fa-
".fff;l"*: (;**)(:[:)
. (f)", :' j:
,c:;e$2)+%*($:21 :,.ry
The development of the totar cost model goes
a rong way toward sorving the invenri,
problem' We now are able to express the
totlal annual u, a function ,1 y.,l* *r-ry,i*_;.
total cost "ort
be ordered' The development of a realistic
model is perhaps the most impou
part of the application of quantitative methods
to inventory ie"rrion making. Equar:.
(10'4) is the general total cost equation
for inventory situations for which the assumptic:,
of the economic order quantitymodel are valid.
ritilll
4e3
1O.l Economic Order Quoniity (EOa) Model
?DQ; { 1{i.5:i
Q*- Cn
A$gttr*E {lerst
Orderlng Total
{}t'iltr S*sst*3t-t- IIoIding
$ 666 $5666
5000 $s000
$ 832 $4832
4000 $4000
$1 109 $4109
3000 $3000
$1664 $3664
2000 $2000
$3328 $4328
1000 $1000
rliil
.t*4 Chopter 10 lnvenrory Models
?
a
Annual Ilventory
L)
Holding Cost
Annual Ordering
Cost
I
I
I
3000 4
Order Quantity (ei
old"r_qrntitv
Problem 2 at the encl of the Lr^-1:: T for Bub Beer of 1824 in equatior (10.4) shows rhar
lnventory"tpolicy the mininr_-
chapter asks you to show has a total annual cost of $3649. Note
ances the holding and ordering costs.
that O* : I : __ .
that equal holding and Check for yourselfto see that these costs
ar. ._,
ordering costs is a pruperty
of the EOQ model. T'fu * E&'€Ee* ^ $et - *s-<*slE- E_.}*{: isi$sr
Now that we know how m,ch to order, we
Tlte reortLer point is want to address the question of w,hen t
t:xpressed in terms of To answer this question, we need to introduce
the concept of inventory posit:,-
inyentory positi on, the inventory position is def,ned as the amount ,
2Actuolly'
Q* Irom equotion {10 5) is 'l 824 28, but becouse we connot
order froctionol coses of beer, o
is shown. This volue of
e* couse o few cents devioiion beiween the e- :
two costs. If q* is used ot its exoc. ,:
holding ond ordering costs ^ov
wili be exoctl;, the some.
d*5
I O.l Economic Order Quontity (EOAI Model
irffi
where
r= reorder Point
d: dematdPer daY
m: leadtime for a new order in daYs
Thequestionofhowfrequentlytheorder.willbeplacedcannowbeanswered.Theperiod
p.Juioosly in equation (10'3)' we defined
as tire cycle ti-u.
r"r"Jio :
between orders is 1824 :
D l Q asthe number of otJ""
tf'u'*iffl" placed in a ye'ar' Thus' b l O: year'tO4'0001
If R&B places
will place ior Bub Beer each
57 is the number of ord; R&fi"rerage 4'39 working :
57 orders over 250 working davs'
it will orAe' appg*imatelv 1":y:::,1:'
for a cycle time3
days. Thus, the cycle ti*"-i* i':9 worti'g Aays' fne general expression
of 7 daYs is given bY
Nlodel
Sensitivity Analysis for th* E$Q
EventhoughSubstantialtimemayhavebeenSpentinarrivingatthecostperorder($32) good esti-
andthe holding r*'iiJ't. i"" ,t oorO ,"uiir"that these figures are at best
"rrr
mates.Thus,wemaywanttoconsidertrowmuctrttre.".o,n**d"dorderquantitywouldthe effects of
uno norJing costs. To determine
change with differen, several dif-
".ri*""0 "rdering order quantity
the recommerided
under
various cost scenarios, we can calculate
the total costbrder quantity for several
-ini*o*
ferent cost conditions. rru-r" io.z
shows
relativelv stable'
the tlble, the value of Q* appears
cost possibiliries. As d;;;;;fr";
evenwithsomevariationsinthecostestimates.Basedontheseresults,thebestorderquan.
properly, the total cost
170G-2000 cases. If operated
tiry for Bub Beer i, i, il" ,*ce, of per vear' we also note
irr";;;;;; should be close to $3400-$3800
for the Bub Beer quantity of 1824' For
implementing the calculated order
that little risk is associ""lr *lrr, (using cost estimates based
example, if R&B i*pr"*"nt,
o.d", quantity oi 1824 cases
-
on$32perorderaldZtvoannualholdingrate)buttheactualcostperorderturnsouttobe
$34andtheactualannualholdingrateturnsouttobe24vo,thenR&Bexperiencesonlya
annual cost'
6; i;;;;"t" ($3690-$3685) in the total
Fromtheprecedinganalysis,wewouldsay.,r,u..t,i'EoQmodelisinsensitivetosmall EoQ models
This insensitivity is a property of
variations or errors i, ;;;;;;rtimates. of ordering cost
have at least reasonable estimates
in general, wrrictr indicatl, itrri rr we true minimum cost
and holding cost, we of""'to obtain a good approximation of the
order quaniitY.
"*
Inventory models such as the EOQ model are easily implemented with the
aid of .-,-,,,
sheets. The Excel EOQ worksheet for Bub Beer is shown in Figure 10.4.
The ,*o.,- ,,*
view of the formulas is on the left and the worksheet view of the l,alues is on the rigir:
on annual demand, ordering cost, annual inventory holding cost rate, cost per
- ,i
' unil. - ..;
i,g days per year, and lead time in days are input in cells S: to n8. The appropriai= : rrl
model formulas, which determine the optimal inventory policy, are placed in
B21. For example. cell BI3 computes the optimal economic order quantity
cells !
1g2-1.-: ;,L
:
M
$$SL:R* }*.4 WORKSHEET FOR THE BUB BEER EOQ INVENTORY MODEL
Vl'EBffi
EOQ
i
&*7 I
I O.l Economic Order Quontity (EOa) Model I
l
l
at a coxstant rate'
1. Demand D is deterministic and occu$ increases bv Q units
2. The order quantity A; th; il;]or each tid;Jil;ilentory level
each tirne an order is received. ordered.
it ;o*n*'and dges not depend on the quantitry
3: The cost per ordo' C;, *i depend on the quantity ordered'
J*t'not
4. The purchase .or, p"i *it, C. is constan,
The total inventory
ne19o'.cr" is constant'
' The inventory h"ldi;;il
5.
illdft;;rii"p.,at"on
il;;ilft1e
uoitr cn and the size of the inventory'
6. Shortages such as *tf-""t orlackorders are not pormitted'
7. The leid time br an order is constailt
g. Theinvenrorypositio"nlJrerir"#d""o.i"*.:ly.Asaresult,anorderisplacedassoonas
point'
th; i;;;..y position reaches the reorder
is desired' one or
cost $3648.56' If sensitivity analysis
cell B16 computes the total annual or changes on the
more of the irprt autu ruio",
u" modified. The impact of any change
"*
policv will then appear in the worksheet'
;;;t;;ii.t
"nio.v
TheExcelworksheetinFigurel0.4isatemplatethatcanbeusedfortheEoQmodel.
presented in this
r^c; worksheets for ihe.other ir*tt"-11"-ys
This workshe"t ana smla.
chapter are available ir[ *tuor* iirt on the website that accompanies this text'
",
Tousetheoptimalorderquantityandreorderpointmodeldescribedinthissection,an
system op:lates. The EOQ model
analyst musr muf." ur.oirpiio* ui*t t o* theinventory
withitseconomicorderquantityformula.isbasedonsomespecificassumptionsaboutis provided in
of the assumptions foithis model
-i.iilly review the R&B invento$y;;. A ,umma.y to ensure
Table 10.3. Before ,rirg ir," EOQ
formula, carefully review these.assumptions
-, o.f the are not
If the assumptions
system being analyzed.
' :: before that they are applicable io the inventory
model'
. :-. tctual i"utonuUf", seek a different inventory
.-:, int'entory VarioustypesofinventorySystemsareusedinpractice,-andtheinventorymodelspre.
. ..: later in
sentedinthefollowingsectionsalteroneormoreorth"soQmodelassumptionsshown with different
- ',f ore or change, a different inventory model
, """tptions of in Table 10.3. when ihe assumptions
necessary'
optimal operating policies becomes
The inventory model presented in this section is similar to the EOQ model ir t .r drrl
attempting to determine how much we should order and when the order shou-: :r -
The inventory model in this We again assume a constant demand rate. However, instead of assuming Li-:' t.-:r
section alters assumption 2 arrives in a shipment of size Qx, as in the EOQ model, we assume that units ?t; : ----1
of the EOQ model inventory at a constant rate over several days or several weeks. The constant srpryn
(see Table 10.3). The
assumption implies that the same.number of unrls is supplied to inventory ea;: :tri
assamption conceming
the arrival of Q units each time (e.g., 10 units every day or 50 units every week). This model is designec -'-r r".';Mltur
time an order is received tion situations for which, once an order is placed, production begins and a cons:=:r I
is changed to a constant of units is added to inventory eachday until the production run has been com;.:::
production supply rate.
If we have a production system that produces 50 units per day and we dec::. mu{lt
ule 10 days of production, we have a 50(10) : 500-unit production lot size. Iir= [lm
the number of units in an order. In general, if we let Q indicate the production . :i
approach to the inventory decisions is similar to the EOQ model; that is, we bui:: , I
and ordering cost model that expresses the total cost as a function of the produc-:,, hm
Then we attempt to find the production lot size that minimizes the total cost.
One other condition that should be mentioned at this time is that the modei : -:
to situations where the production rate is greater than the demand rate; the prr'-, .
tem must be able to satisfy demand. For instance, if the constant demand rate :. - r.rrrlllltrll
per day, the production rate must be at least 400 units per day to satisfy demar - ,ffiyit
During the production run, demand reduces the inventory while producl ,- l;:irTl tr,,if.ril
inventory. Because we assume that the production rate exceeds the demani -; *
day during a production run we produce more units than are demanded. Thus. ::,. n.q{ drffi
,,C{f
production causes a gradual inventory buildup during the production perio,J ;-r*y: ffid rlttil
production run is completed, the continuing demand causes the inventory to STa . *-j (*
This model differs from the cline until a new production run.is started. The inventory pattern for this sysre- ,tfl
EOQ morlel in that a setup in Figure 10.5. {il
cost replaces the ordering As in the EOQ model, we are now dealing with two costs, the holding c.-..r il ,] lnfil
cost, and the saw-tooth ,ifrttiil
ordering cost. Here the holding cost is identical to the definition in the EOQ :. ,:".
inyentory pattern shown in ilffi
Figure 10.5 dffirs.from the the interpretation of the ordering cost is slightly different. In fact, in a produ:-, r ,{tfl
inventory pattern shown in ation the ordering cost is more correctly refened to as the production setup c':r'x.
Figure 10.2. cost, which includes labor, material, and lost production costs incurred while :-,1 I
*-Maximum
h
Time
44q
1O.2 Economic Produciion Lot Size Model
run
the production system for operation,
is a flxed cost that occurs for every production
regardless of the production lot size'
!r
iu;
Total il*s{ &$e*deE
Thus,
* ii{.}.tli
Average inventorv
|(' - l\9
47fi
Chopter 10 lnventory Models
per-unirholding cost
Xf*,:Hl"al of c1,. the generar equadon
for annuar hording cost
:
M
+$;; i 1t:
,.,ixxo,il,'lfr 3$",*.,T:itr#y;i.#:",i.,#;;.;;;;;";;;;;_ 11
D
d=
250
Now let P denote the
annual r^- ^rthe
nrnrtrrnri^^ for
'"nual production
Then
day. product if the product
were produc;_
P :250p and ,: P
. 250
Thus,a
4:
p
DJ2so
D
p/2so - F
Therefore, we can write
the total annual cost
model as follows:
-t"-:i|", 1"1:-.a.--ir:-"::rr,
I ,."'"1.t,,,,-,,.-t,:li_,:..,.,,,_,.,,,.-, i,,I.i.i.t*::;"'**f,.1,,.1-::;,.---::;-:itrr-:*:i_:_rr-::**_,___
ii*io'r= D/phordsregordressof
thenurirberof doysof
operorion;250doysisusedheremerery..
=