4 - Monitoring and Evaluation of Projects and Programmes
4 - Monitoring and Evaluation of Projects and Programmes
Unit-2 Monitoring
Unit-3 Evaluation
Unit 4 Sampling
Structure
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Project Proposal: Concept and Meaning
1.3 Steps in Project Formulation
1.4 Format for Writing Project Proposal
1.5 Logistic Framework Approach in Project Formulation
1.6 Let Us Sum Up
1.7 References and Selected Readings
1.8 Check Your Progress - Possible Answers
1.1 INTRODUCTION
Preparing a project proposal is a daunting task for an individual or an organization.
A project proposal on any aspect of urban development should identify the scope
of the project to be undertaken and describe the audience to be benefited. It
needs to cover the objectives, activities and expected outcomes to be derived out
of the project. The proposal should also describe the resources, both financial
and human, that will be needed to achieve the project goal and objectives. It has
to propose a time frame for development and delivery of the programme.
The proposal must be carefully crafted and its presentation must be professional.
It is important that the proposal be technically sound, grammatically correct, and
well designed, because the project proposal would most likely to compete with
similar proposals submitted by other agencies and consultants. The proposal
must communicate ideas and plans with eloquence that it will rise to the top of
possible competition.
After studying this unit, the students will be able to:
• Describe the meaning of project proposal
• Explain various steps in project proposal formulation
• Formulate a training project proposal for urban health workers
• Prepare logistic framework of a urban health workers training project proposal
4) Interact with the prospective beneficiaries: The project team can also
interact with the prospective beneficiaries to be benefited from the project
interventions and assess their need. It would be better if the coordinator
could also interact with those who have already received benefits from the
similar types of project.
5) Check statistical data/ report: The data regarding a previous similar types
of projects from various documents must be collected so that an appropriate
project strategy is formulated.
6) Hold focus group discussion: It is always better that the person who prepares
a proposal undertakes a focus group discussion with the beneficiaries or the
prospective clienteles or the stakeholders. If it is a training project for
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grassroots level representatives e.g., urban local bodies, then the training Project Formulation
organizer could conduct a focus group discussion with the elected
representatives and functionaries of urban local bodies and assess their needs.
1) Title page: The project proposal must start with a title page. The title page
needs to clearly spell out the title of the project proposal, the name of the
sponsoring agency and the institution submitting the project proposal, and
the address of the institution from where the proposal originates.
Submitted to
Submitted by
National Institute of Urban Affairs, New Delhi
2) Abstract: Many project proposal peer group evaluators may not have the
sufficient time to read the entire project proposal. Therefore, it is prudent to
give an abstract. The abstract needs to include the following aspects.
i) The problem statement
ii) The project objectives
iii) Implementing organisations
iv) Key project activities
v) Expected outputs
vi) Total project budget
3) Introduction: Briefly introduce the topic of the project, and why an project
in the areas is deemed necessary. Introduction must be brief and to the point
focusing on the topic on which project is being proposed.
Problem Analysis
• Describe the key problem identified and its causes and effects.
• Delineate how these problems affect the target group.
• Explain how addressing the causes will lead to the eradication of the
key problem.
• The description should be clear, concise and convincing.
5) Project goal & objectives: After delineating the statement of the problem,
the second aspect to be covered in the project proposal is to clearly state the
goal and objectives. The goal is the general aim of the project, while objectives
are the core problems\ issues the project is trying to address to achieve the
goal. Remember that there is one goal and more than one objective. The
guidelines for preparing realistic objectives is given in the box below.
6) Project Output: The project output should describe the services or products
which the coordination intend to deliver to the beneficiaries or the survey
which the organizers/coordinator intends to administer over the respondents.
The results needed to be more detail and can be presented in measurable
terms. It should be remembered that the results should address the main
causes of the problem that the target group faces. The following are key
points to be taken into consideration while formulating outputs.
i) It should clearly relate to the objectives and should be stated in such a
way that these can be measured in quantity, time, and space.
ii) It should be achievable with in the available resources.
iii) It should not be confused with activities.
7) Target group: The project proposal needs to clearly define the target group
and show how they will benefit from the project/programme. The project
should give clear details of the designation, caste, and age; the gender breaks
up of the target group which will be covered in the project. If possible, a list
of categories of participants may be given as an annexure in the proposal.
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8) Strategies: The project proposal must clearly delineate strategies to be Project Formulation
adopted during various steps of project implementation. The formulated
strategies must be logically linked with the formulated objectives.
a) The activity plan: the activity plan must clearly include information
about the activities to be conducted by the project. The activities must
be drawn from the specific objectives and outputs formulated for the
project. They should be stated in such a way that they precisely describe
the actions or tasks to be undertaken by the project coordinator. It will
be better if activities are further broken into tasks. Activities should
indicate what will be done to transform inputs into outputs.
Some of the guidelines for the formulation of appropriate activities are:
i) It should examine each output listed in the implementation plan.
ii) Formulate the complete set of activities required for achieving the stated
objectives.
iii) Always verify that the formulated set of activities is sufficient for achieving
the stated project output.
iv) Check the available set of inputs necessary for the implementation of
formulated activities.
A good tool for establishing activities is the work breakdown structure, which
identifies groups of activities related to each project output and presents
them in a hierarchical structure as given in Flowchart 1.
A flow chart of goal, objectives, activities, and output is given below:
GOAL
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Project Formulation and The activity map can be presented in a tabular form, popularly know as Gantt
Management
chart. An example of training project activities for urban health workers of a
training programme for four months is presented in a Gantt Chart given below:
Gantt Chart
S.No. Activities Month-1 Month-2 Month-3 Month-4
1. Conducting a need assessment √
2. Preparation of training module √ √
3. Conducting the training programme √ √
4. Writing Training Report √
b) Resource Plan: The resource plan must clearly provide information regarding
resources required for the project. International project donors expect
contributions from the project applicant organization. In this case, the training
organizer should clearly mention the organization’s contribution in the project
budget.
11) Monitoring and Evaluation: the project should clearly outline the
monitoring mechanism. It will have to spell out the methods to be used for
monitoring and evaluating the project.
2. Specific Objective/ How you will know How you will Assumptions about
Purpose the intended change measure change external factors that
What you intend to has occurred and is (the basic for need to be in place if
change during project sustainable evaluation) project is to contribute
period to the Goal
3. Expected Results/ How you will know How you will Assumptions about
Outputs the expected result of measure results external factors that
Tangible result of your project have been (the basis of many affect whether the
each activity achieved periodic review) project purpose is
intended to bring achieved
about change
4. Activities (and The means, inputs Proof that each Assumptions about
processes) and resources needed activity/ task external factors that
Groups of tasks to carry out the each completed (what may affect activities
needed to achieve task needs to be achieving the expected
each expected result regularly results
monitored) Preconditions (that
need to be fulfilled
before the project can
start)
Source: Greta Jensen, The Logical framework approach, How to guide, July, 2010 bond for International
Development, UK.
3) Assumptions: conditions which could affect the progress of the project but
which are not under direct control of project management.
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One example of logical framework is given below. Project Formulation
Activities:
i. To impart training on i. The knowledge of health Activity The health
antenatal care workers increased from Schedule & workers are
delivery __% to __% on child Interacting with motivated to
ii. To impart hands on health care the field visit work for the
training on how to ii. The skill level of health unit promotion of
conduct aseptic workers on conducting health care of
delivery and take care immunization enhanced children
of new born by __%.
iii. To improve skill as iii. The knowledge and skill
how to do various of health workers on
vaccination of identification of referral
children in the age cases of respiratory
group 0-5 years infection and diahorrea
iv. To impart training on enhanced by __%.
management of
respiratory infection
and diarrhoea
Till now you have read about the steps involved in format writing and the logical
framework approach of training project proposal formulation. Now, answer the
following questions in Check Your Progress-1.
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Project Formulation and Check Your Progress 1
Management
Note: a) Write your answer in about 50 words.
b) Check your answer with possible answers given at the end of the unit
1) What are the different steps in project formulation?
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2) What is the full form of “SMART” objective?
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Project Formulation and
Management UNIT 2 PROJECT APPRAISAL
Structure
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Projects: Meaning and Concept
2.3 Difference Between a Project and a Programme
2.4 Criterion for Project Appraisal
2.5 Project Appraisal Techniques
2.6 Let Us Sum Up
2.7 References and Selected Readings
2.8 Check Your Progress – Possible Answers
2.1 INTRODUCTION
In the previous unit you have read about project formulation. This unit deals
with the project appraisal techniques. Projects often provide the base for
sustainable development intervention. Project appraisal is a generic term that
refers to the process of assessing, in a structured way, the case for proceeding
with a project or proposal. It often involves comparing various options, using
economic appraisal or some other decision analysis technique. A good appraisal
justifies spending money on a project. It is an important tool in decision making
and lays the foundation for delivery and evaluation. Appraisal asks fundamental
questions about whether funding is required and whether a project offers good
value for money. It can give confidence that public money is being put to good
use, and help identify other funding to support a project.
Objectives Outputs are tangible; relatively Outcomes are often intangible; difficult to
easy to describe, define and quantify; benefits often based on changes
measure; tending towards to organizational culture and behaviours;
objective. introducing new capabilities into the
organization; tending towards subjective.
Scope Strictly limited; tightly defined; Not tightly defined or bounded; likely to
not subject to change during the change during the life cycle of the program.
life of the project.
Duration Relatively short term; typically Relatively long term typically eighteen
three to six months. months to three years.
Risk profile Project risk is relatively easy to Program risk is more complex and
identify and manage. The potentially the impact on the organization
project failure would result in if a risk materializes will be greater relative
relatively limited impact on the to project risk. Programme failure could
organization relative to result in material financial, reputational or
programme risk. operational loss.
Nature of the Clearly defined. Ill-defined; often disagreement between key
problem stakeholders on the nature and definition
of the problem.
Nature of the A relatively limited number of A significant number of potential solutions
solution potential solutions. with disagreement between stakeholders as
to the preferred solution.
Stakeholders A relatively limited number of A significant number of potential solutions
potential solutions. with disagreement between stakeholders as
to the preferred solution.
Relationship to Environment within which the Environment is dynamic; and programme
environment project takes place is objectives need to be managed in the
understood and relatively context of the changing environment within
stable. which the organization operates.
Resources Resources to deliver the project Resources are constrained and limited; there
can be reasonably estimated in is competition for resources between
advance. projects.
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Project Formulation and
Management 2.4 CRITERION FOR PROJECT APPRAISAL
After a project has been prepared, it is generally appropriate for a critical review
or an independent appraisal to be conducted. This provides an opportunity to
reexamine every aspect of the project plan to assess whether the proposal is
appropriate and sound before large sums are committed. The appraisal process
builds on the project plan, but it may involve new information if the specialists
on the appraisal team feel that some of the data are questionable or some of the
assumptions faulty. If the appraisal team concludes that the project plan is sound,
the investment may proceed. But if the appraisal team finds serious flaws, it may
be necessary for the analyst to alter the project plan or to develop a new plan
altogether.
2) Institutional Aspect
The institutional aspect of a project deals with the framework within which
the project will have to operate. A complete knowledge of the institutional
aspect helps identifying the components of institutional framework that will
have a bearing on the project. Some of the elements that constitute the
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institutional framework include government institutions, project authority, Project Appraisal
corporate bodies, land systems, banking and credit institutions, religious
customs, practices and social mores. There is a need to understand the
administrative system of the region where the project has to be undertaken.
3) Organizational Aspect
Here the term organization refers to the structure if the body that would
undertake the task of project execution. The proposed organization must
have the capacity to carry out the assignments given to it. Some of the basic
principles to be followed include:
1) There must be clear lines of authority running from top to bottom of the
organization and the chain of command should be clear.
2) The responsibilities of each authority should be clearly defined in
writing.
3) The decision making power should be placed as near as possible to the
scene of action.
4) The number of levels of authority should be kept at minimum.
5) The organization should be kept as simple as possible and should be
flexible to adjust to changing conditions.
4) Management Aspect
The main task of management is to implement the project objectives within
the framework of organizational structure. For good management, a clear
definition of functions and activities are required. There is also a need for
allocating responsibilities to various agencies for various project activities.
A suitable mechanism for coordination of the activities of participating
agencies should also be developed. Besides, proper staffing also comes under
the purview of the management.
5) Social Aspect
It is very important to assess the social patterns, customs, culture, traditions
and habits of the clientele. Various aspects like changes in living standards,
material welfare, income distribution etc. In selecting some projects, weights
are assigned for income distribution so that the projects which benefit the
lower income group are benefitted. The adverse effect of the project on
particular group is also examined. Preserving the environment and wildlife
habitats is given high priority.
6) Commercial Aspect
The commercial aspects of a project involves the arrangements of marketing
the output produced by the project and ensuring supply of inputs needed for
the project to operate. There is a need to assess the effective demand of the
project output and the prices that may prevail under the demand and supply
situations. The analyst also needs to cautiously evaluate the impact of product
supply on the price of the product and the viability of the project under such
changed price situation.
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Project Formulation and 7) Financial Aspect
Management
Decisions about undertaking any project depend a lot on financial analysis
of a project. As there could be many beneficiaries/participating agencies of
any project, there is a need for separate financial analysis each.
8) Economic Aspect
The economic aspect is very important to be taken into consideration while
appraising a project proposal. If it is a developmental project aims at
improving the quality of life of the people in the project area, then what will
be its economic impact in terms of raising income and standard of living of
the people is essential.
9) Sustainability Aspect
Donor agencies are emphasising on the sustainability of the project after the
intervention is withdrawn from the project area. While appraising the project
proposal the reviewer must see that adequate attention has been given to the
sustainability of the project by enquiring several questions i.e How will the
project to be sustained after the project activities are withdrawn? Who will
sustain it, both financially and technically? and What endeavour has been
made by the proposer while proposing the project? and so on.
If the cash flow is not constant, e.g. if a project involves a cash outlay of
6,00,000 and generates cash inflow of Rs 1,00,000, Rs 1,50,000, Rs 1,50,000
and Rs 2,00,000 in the first, second, third and the forth years respectively, its
payback period is four years because the sum of cash inflow during four
years is equal to the total outlay.
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Project Formulation and Evaluation of this method:
Management
• It is simple in concept and application.
• It favours those projects that generate substantial inflows in earlier years
and discriminate against projects that bring substantial cash flows only
in later years.
• As this criterion emphasises on earlier cash flows, it may be a good
criterion when the firm is pressed with the problem of liquidity.
• It fails to consider the time value of money thus violating the most
basic principle of financial analysis which says that cash flows occurring
at different points of time can be added or subtracted only after suitable
compounding and discounting.
• Since payback period is the measure of a project’s capital recovery, it
may divert attention from profitability.
In spite of the shortcoming of not using the time value of money, payback
period is used with advantage in apprising investments for the following
reasons:
• The payback period may be considered roughly as the internal rate of
return when annual cash flow is constant and the life of the project
fairly long.
• The payback period is somewhat akin to the breakeven point.
• The payback period also gives information about the rate at which the
uncertainty associated with the project is resolved. The shorter the
payback period, the faster the uncertainty associated with the project is
resolved.
(1 + r)
t
t =0
where:
r = discount rate
t = year
n = analytic horizon (in years)
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Project Formulation and Decision making:
Management
If the NPV of a prospective project is positive, it should be accepted. However,
if NPV is negative, the project should probably be rejected because cash
flows will also be negative.
Features of NPV:
• The NPV is based on the assumption that the intermediate cash inflows
of the project are re-invested at a rate of return equal to the firm’s cost
of capital.
• The NPV of a simple project decreases as the discount rate increases,
the decrease in NPV however is at a decreasing rate.
Merits of NPV
• It takes into account the time value of money.
• It considers the cash flow stream in its entirety.
• The NPV’s of various projects can be added. The NPV of a scheme
consisting of two projects A and B will simply be the sum of NPV’s of
these projects individually.
NPV (A+B) = NPV(A) + NPV(B).
The cost of capital k for the firm is 10 percent. The net present value of the
proposal is:
10.00,000 2,00,000 2,00,000 3,00,000 3,00,000 3,50,000
NPV = ———— +———— + ———— + ——–— + ———– + ————
(1.10)0 (1.10)1 (1.10)2 (1.10)3 (1.10)4 (1.10)5
= –5273
Since the decision rule associated with the net present value is to accept the
project if the net present value is positive and reject if it is negative, in this
example, the decision should be to reject the project.
ii) IRR
The discount rate often used in capital budgeting that makes the net present
value of all cash flows from a particular project equal to zero. Generally
speaking, the higher a project’s internal rate of return, the more desirable it
is to undertake the project. As such, IRR can be used to rank several
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prospective projects a firm is considering. Assuming all other factors are
equal among the various projects, the project with the highest IRR would Project Appraisal
probably be considered the best and undertaken first.
The internal rate of return is the value of r which satisfies the following
condition.
The discount rate often used in capital budgeting that makes the net present
value of all cash flows from a particular project equal to zero. Generally
speaking, the higher a project’s internal rate of return, the more desirable it
is to undertake the project. As such, IRR can be used to rank several
prospective projects a firm is considering. Assuming all other factors are
equal among the various projects, the project with the highest IRR would
probably be considered the best and undertaken first.
The benefit-cost ratio (BCR) represents the ratio of total benefits over total
costs, both discounted as appropriate. The formula for calculating BCR is:
PVbenefits
BCR = ————
PVcosts
where:
PVbenefits = present value of benefits
PVcost = present value of costs
In other words, since the present value of costs is nothing but the initial
investment, the BCR may be defined as the ratio of present value of benefits
to initial investment.
To illustrate the calculation of this measure, let us consider a project which
is being evaluated by a firm that has a cost capital of 12 percent.
The initial investment in the project is Rs1,00,000.
Year Benefits
Year 1 25,000
Year 2 40,000
Year 3 40,000
Year 4 50,000
The benefit cost ratio of this project will be
The BC ratio is preferable to NPV as this criterion measures per rupee of outlay
and it can discriminate between large and small investments.
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Project Appraisal
UNIT 3 PROJECT MANAGEMENT
Structure
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Project Management: Concept and Elements
3.3 Project Management Cycle
3.4 Project Management Techniques
3.5 Pre-requisites of Effective Project Management
3.6 Let Us Sum Up
3.7 References and Selected Reading
3.8 Check Your Progress: Possible Answer
3.1 INTRODUCTION
Project management has an important place in development as many of the urban
development researchers and institutes are now days undertaking many research
projects. Every project manger has to deal with different targets, different
environment and different target groups. Appropriate knowledge and skill about
the various aspects of project management will transform a project manger in to
an excellent project manager. The project manager largely perform following
roles: (i) plan the project along with other team members; (ii) prepare strategies,
activities and arrange and allocate resources required for the achievement of
project objectives; (iii) maintain relation between the project team, institution
and the donor agency of the project; and (iv) successfully complete the project
and disseminate its finding for the consumption of large audience. This unit
deals in detail about the project management.
After reading this unit, you should be able to:
i) Define concept and elements of project management;
ii) Describe various steps of project management cycle;
iii) Explain various project management techniques; and
iv) Discuss different pre-requisites of effective project management.
Project Management has been evolved one of the important areas in the area of
urban development. According to Richard Newton (2008), project management
has been developed over the past few decades as it has become apparent that
without a structured approach, people are not very good at completing projects
successfully. The principal aim of project management is to see that projects are
well formulated, effectively implemented; completed in time and end result is
achieved. The project management is largely encircled in four important factors
i.e cost, time, scope and quality. According to PMBOK “project management is
application of knowledge, skills, tools and techniques to project activities to
achieve project requirements. Project management is accomplished through the
application and integration of the project management processes of initiating,
planning, executing, monitoring, controlling and closing.”
Quality Time
Scope
ii) Time Management: Time management is one important skills for any
successful project manager. Most of the project fails due to poor time
management by the project managers. For the effective management of
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time, a project has to broken down into number of tasks which are to be Project Management
accomplished within time frame. To prepare the project schedule, the project
manager has to figure out what the tasks are, how long they will take, what
resources they require and in what order they should be done.
iii) Scope Management: The project manager at the outset need to clearly
delineate scope of the project. The scope of the project will enable the project
manager to judiciously plan required resources and manpower for the project.
As project is time and cost bound, therefore, scope of the project needs to be
appropriately framed within these constraints. Scope management comprises
following main aspects such as authorizing the job, developing a scope
statement that will define the boundaries of project, sub-dividing the work
into manageable components with deliverables, verifying that the amount
of work has been achieved and specifying scope change control procedures
(Levis, 2007).
iv) Quality Management: Quality management is last but not least element of
project management. The success of the project is judged by the yardstick
of quality of work it has produced. The successful project manager maintains
the balance between cost, quantity and quality. According Levis (2007) quality
management includes both quality assurance and quality control. The former
means planning to meet quality requirements and the later emphasises on
the steps to be taken to monitor results to see if they conform to requirements.
In this section you studied the concept and elements of project management,
now answer the questions given in Check Your Progress-1.
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i) Situation Analysis Project Management
The roots of the tree, is the lower part of the drawing, metaphorically represent
the causes of the main problem. The tree trunk at the centre of the drawing
represents the main problem and the tree branches, on the upper side of the
drawing, provide a visual representation of the effects of the main problem.
Tips for Problem Analysis
Describe the key problem identified and its causes and effects.
Delineate how these problems affect the target group.
Explain how addressing the causes will lead to eradication of the key
problem
The description should be clear, concise and convincing
For each specific problem selected, develop a problem tree
• Traffic congestion
• Longer commuting
• Environmental pollution
• Low safety & accidents
• High population
• Transport demand exceeding supply
• Loads of personal vehicles
• Low investments in public transport systems
3) Planning- Planning phase is one of the important phases of the project cycle
management. The project planning defines project activities that will be
performed; the output that will be produced; and delineate how these activities
will be accomplished and managed. Project planning defines each major
task, estimates the time, resources and cost required, and provides a
framework for management review and control. In other words, planning
involves identifying and documenting scope, tasks, schedules, cost, risk,
quality and staffing needs.
The project manager, along with his project team prepares project plan and
gets it approved from the management. The project plan is a comprehensive
document that allows a project team to begin and complete the work necessary
to achieve the project goal and objectives. The project plan will address how
the project team will manage the project elements.
4) Executing- After the project plan is prepared, it gets ready for execution or
implementation. The project team acquire all necessary resources required
to carry out the project and ready to perform project activities. The project
manger along with the project team put their energy and efforts in
participating, observing and analysing the project activities so that the output
is produced and goal and objectives of the project achieved. In other words
one is to execute the work that must be done to come out with the product of
the project. Further, executing also refers to implementing the project plan.
6) Closing out- Closing out is the last but not the least phase of project cycle
management. Once the output is produced to the customer’s satisfaction,
the project is considered finished. However, this should not be the case. A
final lesson-learned review should be done before the project is considered
complete. Failing to do the lessons-learned review means that future project
will likely to suffer. Although project close out is a routine process, it is an
important one. According to Haugey, project closure means formal acceptance
of the deliverables and disbanding of all the elements that were required to
run the project. 35
Project Formulation and In this section you studied about the project management cycle and now answer
Management
the questions given in Check Your Progress-2.
i) Gantt Chart
Henry L Gantt in 1917 developed a system of bar charts for scheduling and
reporting of a project. These charts, latter were known as Gantt Charts. It is
a pictorial representation specifying the start and finish time for various tasks
to be performed in a project on a horizontal time scale. The Gantt chart as a
tool is used:
√ To plan time scale of a project
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√ To estimate resources required for a project Project Management
Task Duration 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
(Months)
1. Planning of survey 1-3
Months
2. Designing of 1-3
Questionnaire Months
3. Hiring of Personnel 1-3
Months
4. Training of Peronnel 1-4
Months
5. Collection of Data 2-6
Months
6. Data Entry 3-10
Months
7. Data Analysis/ 3-10
Interpretation Months
8. Report Writing 11th Month
Here the project manager has to draw bar chart as per the scheduled activities.
For example activity A is project planning plotted in first bar and like wise each
activity is plotted according to planned time line. Though Gnatt chart is
comprehensive, convenient and very effective, it has limitation of handling
complex projects.
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Project Formulation and ii) Milestone Chart
Management
Milestone Chart is an improvisation over the Gantt Chart by introducing
milestones. The milestone represents a circle over a taste in the bar chart
which indicates completion of a specific phase of the task. This was used
because by drawing a simple bar chart one can not monitor the progress of a
particular task. In a milestone chart a task is broken down in to specific
activities and after accomplishment of the specific activity a milestone is
reached or in other words an event occurs.
Graph on Milestone
In this bar chart, milestones are represented in circle. For example in Task
A, the milestone two can not be reached until the mile stone one is crossed
and the activity between milestone one and two is over. For example in a
socio-economic survey in an urban slum, the survey can not be possible
unless questionnaires are prepared. Some of the weaknesses of the milestone
chart are:
i) It does not show interdependence between tasks.
ii) It does not indicate critical activities.
iii) It does not consider the uncertainties associated with accomplishment
of a certain task.
iii) It will be always cumbersome to draw the chart for large projects.
3.4.2 Networks
The best-known technique for network analysis is Programme Evaluation and
Review Technique (PERT) developed during 1956-1958. The PERT was
developed for US navy for scheduling the research and development activities
for Polaris Missiles Programme. The heart of any PERT chart is a network of
tasks needed to complete a project, showing the order in which the tasks need to
be completed and the dependencies between them. Some of the key features of
net work are:
i) Specify the individual activities:- All the activities in the project are listed
and this list can be used as the basis for adding sequence and duration
information in the later steps.
iii) Estimate the completion time for each activity: - The time required to
complete each activity can be estimated using past experience.
iv) Draw a network diagram:- Once the activities and their sequences have been
defined, the network diagram can be drawn.
v) Identify the Critical path:- The Critical Path is the longest duration path
through the network. The significance of the critical path is that the activities
that lie on it cannot be delayed without delaying the project. Because of its
impact on the entire project, critical path analysis is an important aspect of
project planning.
vi) Update the diagram as it progress:-As the project progress, the actual task
completion times will be known and the network diagram can be updated to
include this information. A new critical path may emerge and structural change
made.
39
Project Formulation and An arrow is used to represent each activity or tasks to accomplish and the duration
Management
of the activity is recorded below the arrow e.g. hours, days or months.
Each activity or task that happens, has preceding event (circle) and each circle is
pre-numbered e.g. above circle ‘5’ is used as example to how this would be the
5th event.
The earliest event time (EET) displays the earliest time an activity (represented
by an arrow) can start, given the interdependence of other activities that would
be completed beforehand.
The latest event time (LET) for an activity is recorded in the circle following
the activity (arrow) e.g. the latest time an activity must be completed by, in order
to achieve the elapsed time of the project.
42
6) Project Communication Management:- Communication Management Project Management
refers to planning, executing, and controlling the acquisition and
dissemination of all information relevant to the needs of all project
stakeholders. Transparency in communication is an accountability of the
project manger. Democratic way of communication where all the stakeholders
participate and share their opinion regarding various aspects of project is
critical to a good project proposal formulation. Communication and
dissemination of findings of the project not only helps the policy makers to
formulate policy but also helps the organization to fetch more projects.
In this section you studied about the project management technique and pre-
requisites of effective project management and now answer the questions given
in Check Your Progress-3.
46
Programme Planning
UNIT 1 PROGRAMME PLANNING
Structure
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Meaning of Programme Planning
1.3 Objectives of Programme Planning
1.4 Need Identification in Programme Planning
1.5 Principles of Programme Planning
1.6 Programme Planning Process
1.7 Let Us Sum Up
1.8 Keywords
1.9 References and Selected Readings
1.10 Check Your Progress – Possible Answers
1.1 INTRODUCTION
The first step in any systematic attempt to promote urban development is to
prepare useful programmes based on people / community needs. The development
of such programmes, which harmonize with the needs of people as a whole, is
an important responsibility of urban development workers. Programme planning
is also a procedure of working with the people in an effort to recognize
unsatisfactory situations or problems, and to determine possible solutions, or
objectives or goals. This is a conscious effort to meet the needs, interests and
wants of people for whom the urban developmental programmes are intended.
Hence, the element of people needs should be the central concern of urban
development professionals who formulate / implement development programmes.
After studying this unit you should be able to:
• discuss meaning, objectives and principles of programme planning process.
• describe the programme planning process.
Let us briefly discuss the terms / related terms used in this definition.
Situation: Situation is a statement of affairs that includes the cultural, social,
economic and physical conditions in which a particular group of people find
themselves at a given period of time. Please remember the situation which
constitutes the environment for planning is continuously changing. The changing
environment aspects that are relevant to development work are:
• Changes in technology.
• Changes in Government policy.
• Changes in overall economic activity including prices, employment of labour,
raw material etc.
• Changes in social norms and attitudes of people towards development.
Aims: Aims are generalized and broad statement of directions with respect to
given activities.
Objectives: Objectives are expression of ends towards which our efforts are
directed. The dictionary meaning of objective is ‘something that one’s efforts or
actions are intended to attain or accomplish’.
Goal: Goal is the distance in any given direction one expects to go during a
given period of time.
Example : Pulse polio programme on first Sunday of every month in all urban
slums during the year 2013.
Collection of Facts
and Analysis
Reconsideration
Identification
of Problems
Determination
of Objectives
Evaluation of
Results Developing the
Plan of Activities
Carrying Out
Continuous
the Activities
Checking
• Traffic congestion
• Longer commuting
• Environmental pollution
• Low safety & accidents
• High population
• Transport demand exceeding supply
• Loads of personal vehicles
• Low investments in public transport systems
From the Fig. 1.4, we can identify various direct and indirect causes for the
problem of urban transport. Some of the interrelated reasons are: the high
population is leading to exceeding of demand compared to supply and therefore
people have to use personal vehicles. These are leading to traffic congestion,
longer travel time, environmental pollution, low safety and increased possibility
for accidents.
11
Monitoring and Evaluation 1.6.3 Determination of Objectives
Once the needs and problems of the people have been identified, they are stated
in terms of objectives and goals. The objectives represent a forecast of the changes
in the situation or change in behaviour of the people to be brought about. The
objectives may be long-term as well as short-term and must be stated clearly.
Example: Prepare the following schedule of activities, print and distribute to all
concerned related to above objectives.
Follow-up the activities carried out at regular intervals. Keep adequate records
of each activity as a base for evaluation of results.
1.6.8 Reconsideration
The systematic and periodic evaluation of the programme will reveal the weak
and strong points of the programme. Based on these points the programme is
reconsidered and the necessary adjustments and changes should be made in order
to make it more meaningful and sound.
Leagans, J.P. (1961). Programme Planning to Meet People’s Needs. In: Extension
Education in Community Development, Directorate of Extension, Ministry of
Food and Agriculture, Government of India, New Delhi.
Kelsey L.D. and Hearne C.C. (1966). Cooperative Extension Work. New York:
Constock Publishing Associates.
Van den Ban, A.W. and Hawkins, H.S. (2002). Agricultural Extension, CBS
Publishers and Distributors, New Delhi.
1) The three phases involved in programme planning process are (i) : Programme
formulation (ii) Programme execution and (iii) Programme evaluation.
15
Monitoring and Evaluation
UNIT 2 MONITORING
Structure
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Meaning of Monitoring
2.3 Monitoring: What, Why, When and by Whom
2.4 Basic Concepts and Elements in Monitoring
2.5 Types of Monitoring
2.6 Tools and Techniques of Monitoring
2.7 Indicators of Monitoring
2.8 Let Us Sum Up
2.9 References and Selected Readings
2.10 Check Your Progress - Possible Answers
2.1 INTRODUCTION
Projects are the ‘cutting edge’ of urban development. The most difficult single
problem of project managers is the proper implementation of urban development
programmes and projects. However well a project has been conceived and
planned, if the implementation is not proper, it will result in inefficient and
wasteful loss of scarce resources. India has been a fore runner in formulating
enormous number of programmes and projects for urban development. Review
of these projects suggests that monitoring and appropriate mid course corrective
measures are central to achieving project goals. In the light of the above,
Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) is increasingly recognized as an indispensable
tool of both project and portfolio management. There is a wide felt need to improve
the performance of development projects. M&E provides a basis for accountability
in the use of development resources and is an integral and important part of the
project cycle. No project can be complete or successful without a proper M & E.
According to World Bank (2004) M&E of development activities provide
government officials, development managers and civil society with better means
for learning from past experience, improving service delivery, planning and
allocating resources, and demonstrate results as part of accountability to key
stakeholders. Within the development community there is a strong focus on results
– this helps explain the growing interest in M & E.
After studying this unit, you will be able to:
• explain what, why, when and how of monitoring.
• identify key elements in monitoring.
• discuss various types of monitoring.
17
Monitoring and Evaluation Table 2.1: Gamut of Monitoring
18 Fig. 2.1 : Monitoring and Evaluation Cycle (Source: Shapiro, J. Monitoring & Evaluation)
Monitoring, therefore, is an essential tool for successful implementation of a Monitoring
project. During the process of monitoring, we identify the shortfalls, deviations
and problems and causes for the same to take appropriate remedial /corrective
action.
Since monitoring is a management function, all those who are involved in the
project implementations (who constitute the project management team at different
levels / sectors) will do the monitoring. This may include, even the beneficiaries
when local groups / organizations have been formed as part of project strategy
(e.g.: Urban Forest Committees and Forest Protection Committees under JFM,
Water Users Committee, Education Committees, User Groups, Self Help Groups,
etc). It is important to appreciate that monitoring is not an individual’s function
but a collective function. When all stakeholders, including beneficiaries are
involved in monitoring, then it paves way for participatory monitoring. A
monitoring and evaluation cycle is given in Fig. 2.1
Till now you have read about the meaning and scope of monitoring, various
gamuts of monitoring and monitoring and evaluation cycle. Now answer the
questions in Check Your Progress-1.
In any project, this sequence (input - output- effect (outcomes) - impact) is inbuilt,
ensuring that these steps occur is a primary ‘condition’ for the success of a project.
Again, all projects are made on certain ‘assumptions’ i.e. if we provide inputs,
recipients will use it properly, and produce necessary outputs so that the outputs
will result in increased income and the income will boost the standard of living
of people. There are also other factors like vagaries of monsoon, price fluctuation,
changing political environment, etc., which are described as ‘risks’ that will affect
the project outcomes. It is, therefore, necessary to evolve a mechanism in every
project that necessary conditions prevail, assumptions come true and effects of
risk are reduced by providing cushions for the shock. Such a mechanism is called
‘Monitoring’.
From the financial and physical progress report, it is often possible to make
a rapid assessment of whether, and to what extent, the original activities of
the scheme have been fulfilled, and whether it is working successfully within
the allocated budget. Disbursement of funds for the scheme can be matched
against other data/schemes.
22
ii) Monitoring staff performance (review) Monitoring
Monitoring the staff performance can ensure that individuals are effectively
employed to fulfill given tasks. Ideally, all those employed in a project should
meet regularly, to discuss their progress, and match this against targets and
objectives, and discuss problems and possible changes.
vi) Interviews
Group members and community leaders should be interviewed on their
attitude towards the scheme and resultant behavioral changes.
viii)Key informants
In addition to our regular contacts, we must try to interact with other people
who may be useful sources of information e.g. Teachers, Postmaster, Kirana
Shop, SHGs etc.
If ratio is 1, everything is probably on target and if the ratio is further away from
1 it requires more investigation.
In this section you have read about the concepts, elements, types and techniques
of monitoring. Now try and answer the questions in Check Your Progress-2.
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3) What do you mean by participatory monitoring?
.......................................................................................................................
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Indicators can be categorized into direct and indirect or proxy indicators, single
and unitary or composite indicators; quantitative and qualitative indicators;
primary, core, and supplementary indicators, input and output indicators; and
monitoring and evaluation indicators.
i) Quantitative indicators
Provide numeric information about a change in a situation. For example,
centimeters of rainfall last quarter, number of people using metro etc.
25
Monitoring and Evaluation iv) Indirect indicators
Essential information, chosen from amongst many types of information to
serve as substitutes (or proxy indicators) for answering questions or
responding to statements that are difficult to measure. For example, if we
are interested in measuring the level of poverty in a community, instead of
choosing direct indicators for income, indirect indicators for poverty may be
chosen, e.g. persons are poor if they have to hire themselves out as daily
unskilled labour.
v) Process indicators
Steps involved in planning, designing, collecting funds, construction and
operation and maintenance (O&M) of a water supply scheme for example,
are the processes involved in developing water supply infrastructure.
Examples of process indicators are level of participation and inputs of
community during planning.
In this section you have read about types of monitoring indicators and differances
between monitoring and progress reporting. Now try and answer the questions
in Check your progress 3.
26
Monitoring
2.9 REFERENCES AND SELECTED READINGS
ADB (2002), Project Performance Management System Operations Manual,
Section 22. PACS Series, New Delhi.
Casley, D.J., & Kumar, K. (1987), Project monitoring and evaluation in
agriculture, Johns Hopkins University Press (published for the World Bank),
Baltimore and London.
Casley, D.J., & Lury, D.A (1987), Monitoring and evaluation of agriculture and
rural development projects, Johns Hopkins University Press (published for the
World Bank), Baltimore and London.
Cemea, M.M., & Tepping, B.J. (1977), A system for monitoring and evaluating
agricultural extension projects. World Bank Staff Working Paper No.272. DC:
World Bank, Washington.
Chalmers, James (2002), How to managing projects, Jaico Publishing House,
Mumbai.
Davis-Case, D. and P Grove (1990), The Community’s Tool Box: The Idea,
Methods, and Tools for Participatory Assessment, Monitoring and Evaluation
in Community Forestry, FAO, Rome.
Davis-Case, D’Arcy. (1990), Community Forestry. Participatory Assessment,
Monitoring and Evaluation, FAO, Rome.
Dennis J. Casley & Krishna Kumar (1989), The Collection, Analysis and use of
Monitoring and Evaluation Data. The World Bank.
Dennis J. Casley & Krishna Kumar (1990), Project Monitoring and Evaluation
in Agriculture, The World Bank.
Development Alternatives (2008), MEAL Manual for Civil Society Organisation.
Monitorign Evaluation
Feuerstein, Marie-Therese (1986), Partners in Evaluation. Evaluating
Development and Community Programmes with Participant, Mac Millan
Education Ltd, Hong Kong.
Gosling, Louisa and Mike Edwards (1995), Toolkits: A Practical Guide to
Assessment, Monitoring, Review and Evaluation. Save the Children, London.
Guijt, I. (1998), Participatory Monitoring and Impact Assessment of Sustainable
Agriculture Initiatives: An Introduction to the Key Elements. Discussion Paper
No.1, Sustainable Agriculture and Rural Livelihoods Programmes, IIED, UK:
IIED.
http://Inweb18.worldbank.org/oed/oeddoclib.nsf/24cc3bb1f94ae11c
85256808006a0046/ a5efbb5d7
http://www.adb./org/Documents/Manuals/Operations/om22.asp.
Jody Zall Kusek and Ray C. Rist (2004), Ten steps to a results-based monitoring
and evaluation system: a handbook for development practitioners, D.C: World
Bank, Washington.
Lee, J.W (1990), More than Accountability: Evaluating Agricultural Extension
Programmes. TRDC Publiation No.172. Armidale, Australia: University of
New England, Rural Development Centre.
27
Monitoring and Evaluation Misra, DC (1999), Monitoring Extension Programme and Resource, Chapter 17
in Improving Agricultural Extension; A Reference Manual: Ed: FAO, Rome.
Murphy, J., & Marchant, T.J. (1988), Monitoring and Evaluation in Extension
Agencies, World Bank Technical Paper No.79, DC: World Bank, Washington.
Participatory Monitoring and Evaluation (1990), A Handbook for Training Field
Workers, 1998 Bangkok: Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific (RAPA), FAO.
Ruthenberg, I. (1985), Innovation Policy for Small Farmers in the Tropics: The
Economics of Technical Innovations for Agricultural Development, Oxford
University Press.
Shapiro, J. “Monitoring and Evaluation”, http://www.civicus.org/new/media/
monitoring
Slade, R.H., & Feder, G (1985), Training and Visit Extension: A Manual of
Instruction (mimeo), Washington, DC: World Bank.
World Bank (2004), Monitoring & Evaluation: Some Tools, Methods and
Approaches, Washington, DC: World Bank.
Monitoring are of two types. (i) Beneficiary contact monitoring and (ii)
process monitoring
Structure
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Evaluation: Meaning and Features
3.3 Types of Evaluation
3.4 Evaluation Design (How to do Evaluation?)
3.5 Various Aspects of Evaluation
3.6 Methods and Approaches of Evaluation
3.7 Let Us Sum Up
3.8 References and Selected Readings
3.9 Check Your Progress – Possible Answers
3.1 INTRODUCTION
Literally, ‘evaluation’ means ‘assessing the value of’. Evaluations are undertaken
in all spheres of life, in informal or formal ways, whenever, one wishes to know
and understand the consequences of some action or event. The acquired
knowledge and understanding are commonly used by the evaluator to perform
some activity in a better manner in the future; that is, one tries to learn from
one’s experiences in order to improve one’s performance.
ii) To overcome the memory or recall bias, it is always preferable and necessary
that a ‘baseline’ or ‘bench mark’ study is carried out at the beginning of the
project on selected parameters of likely impact. A similar baseline at mid
term and at the close of project will provide us the changes brought about by
the project overtime. Unfortunately in most projects baseline studies are not
undertaken or when available it is inadequate. Hence the pre-post (before-
after design) may not give us reliable information.
32
In order to obtain the best results in evaluation, a combination of both the designs Evaluation
will be the most appropriate method.
Till now you have read about the meaning and features of evaluation, types of
evaluation and evaluation design. Now you try and answer the following questions
in Check Your Progress-1.
33
Monitoring and Evaluation i) Efficiency Evaluation
This may be defined as the amount of outputs created and their quality in
relation to the resources (capital and personnel) invested. It is, then, a measure
of how productively the resources (as converted into inputs) have been used.
The main problem in evaluating efficiency is deciding on the amount of
various inputs which the evaluator considers to be reasonable for producing
the outputs which may have been documented in the project proposal. Specific
criteria for making such judgments are rarely given in the plan documents.
The evaluator may therefore have to make his or her own judgment about
relations between the magnitude of inputs of different kinds and the amount
and quality of outputs. Measuring the efficiency is one of the intricate tasks
before the project manager, which sometimes may convince or may not
convince the donor agencies of the project.
34
iv) Evaluation of Sustainability Aspect Evaluation
36
The two important component of logical frame work technique are (a) the vertical Evaluation
logic and (b) the hierarchy of project objectives.
a) The Vertical Logic: The vertical logic identifies what the project intends to
do, clarifies the relationship between project means and ends, and specifies
the uncertainties concerning both the project itself and the social/physical/
political environment within which the project is located.
b) The Hierarchy of Project Objectives: Four levels are specified in the Log
Frame:
Goal: The reason for undertaking the project: the ultimate objective of the
programme to which the specific project will contribute.
Purpose: What the project is expected to achieve in development terms once it
is completed within the allocated time. The purpose is the motivation behind the
production of the outputs.
Outputs: The specific results to be produced by the management of inputs.
Inputs: The activities to be undertaken and the resources available to produce
the outputs.
Some of the advantages of logical framework are:
a) It forces the project analyst to trace out the inter-locking components of a
project in a Logical manner right from the start. Shifts the emphasis from
inputs and outputs to objectives of the project.
b) It forces the project analyst to ask himself, from the very outset, the question
“How can I check whether or not progress is being made towards achievement
of objectives?”
c) It forces the project analyst to record systematically the risks and assumptions
inherent in the whole enterprise. Helps to minimise risk, keep a check if
assumptions are coming true.
d) Handing over to others is made easy.
e) Logical Framework is the intellectual baggage of Monitor and Evaluator.
Some of the advantages of this method are: (a) Its findings can be applied to
longer group (b) quantitative establishments can be made for the distribution of
impacts.
The advantages of rapid appraisal method are they are low cost, can be conducted
quickly and provide flexibility to explore new ideas. As rapid appraisal methods
are short-term, they neither provide sound survey data nor do they provide in-
depth understanding of the survey.
PETS also intend to provide local communities with information about the level
of resources allocated to particular services in their area for example to the local
school or health clinic, etc and their pattern of utilization. PETS are widely used
by the International donor agencies in evaluating their social development projects
in African Countries.
The two important advantages of this method are:
a) Supports the pursuit of accountability
b) Improves management by pinpointing bureaucratic bottlenecks
The benefit-cost ratio (BCR) represents the ratio of total benefits over total costs,
both discounted as appropriate. The formula for calculating BCR is:
PV benefits
BCR= —————
PV cost
Where:
PV benefits – Present Value of benefits
PV cost – Present value of cost
The steps followed in the cost benefit and cost effectiveness analysis are follow:
1) set the framework for the analysis
2) decide whose cost and benefit to be recorded
3) identify and categorize costs and benefits
4) calculate project costs and benefits over the life of the programme
5) monetize
6) quantify benefits in terms of units of effectiveness
7) discount costs and benefits to obtain present values
8) compute a effectiveness ratio
9) compute cost benefit ratio
One of the important advantages of cost effective method is that it is useful for
convincing policy-makers and funders that the benefits justify the activity. While
the benefit cost ratio is most suitable for the evaluation of single project.
39
Monitoring and Evaluation a) What is PM&E?
PM&E is not just a matter of using participatory techniques within a
conventional monitoring and evaluation setting. It is about radically rethinking
who initiates and undertakes the process, and who learns or benefits from
the findings. There are many different forms depending on who is
participating, at what stages they are involved and the precise objectives.
Community-based versions, where local people are the primary focus, sit
alongside other forms geared to engaging lower level staff in assessing how
it can be improved. PM&E has created new ways of measuring change,
while helping build the monitoring and evaluation capacity of the people
involved. Distinction between the conventional M&E approaches and
participatory M&E approached is given in Table-3.3 below.
Table 3.3: Conventional M & E approaches Vs. Participatory M&E Approaches
Two way communication and clear People who make decisions need timely,
messages: reliable and useful information:
PM&E is built on ideas, methods and The right information at the right time will
tools that support equal and clear facilitate better decisions.
communication between insiders and
outsiders.
41
Monitoring and Evaluation iii) Group and team dynamics method:
Team contracts
Team review sessions
Interview guides
Rapid report writing
Work sharing (taking part in local activities)
Villager and shared presentations
Process notes arid diaries
Some of the advantages of participatory evaluation method are:
a) Examines relevant issues by involving key players in the design process
b) Establishes partnership and local ownership of the project
c) Enhances local learning, management capacity and skills.
In this section you have read about the various aspects of evaluation and techniques
of evaluation. Now try and answer the questions in Check Your Progress-2.
44
Measurement
UNIT 1 MEASUREMENT
Structure
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Measurement: Meaning and Concept
1.3 Importance of Measurement
1.4 Measurement Postulates
1.5 Levels of Measurement
1.6 Admissible Statistical Tests for Measurement
1.7 Criteria for Judging the Measuring Instruments
1.8 Sources of Errors in Measurement
1.9 Let Us Sum Up
1.10 Keywords
1.11 References and Selected Readings
1.12 Check Your Progress – Possible Answers
1.1 INTRODUCTION
The first principle of a scientific study is to describe objectively what a scientist
observed, under what circumstances, and to communicate the same as precisely
as possible. A scientist reports not only what has been observed, but states the
circumstances and the methods used, too. This is a high priority condition because
others must be given a chance to verify those observations. In fact, specification
of the conditions of observation is the first step in the measurement of a given
phenomenon.
Although arguments continue over the nature of measurement, measurement in
some form or other has always been there even when social sciences were no
more than a branch of speculative philosophy. Quantitative principles from physics
and chemistry have given us very precise and accurate measurement in these
fields. Biological sciences, of late, have established principles that are nearly at
par with those found in physical sciences. Social sciences lag far behind as
compared to physical and biological sciences. Measurement is the key to all
sciences.
After studying this unit you will be able to:
• explain the meaning, concepts and importance of measurement in social
science research.
• describe the levels of measurement that quantify social variables.
• distinguish between various levels of measurement that have been used in
the social science research.
6
Measurement
1.3 IMPORTANCE OF MEASUREMENT
“Measurement consists of identifying the values which may be assumed by some
variable, and representing these values by some numerical notation. The numerical
notation is systematically and consistently assigned, that is, it is assigned according
to some set of rules.”
Thus, the numerals assigned to the variables, indicate different condition of the
variables or different values of the variables or different degrees or intensity of a
quality possessed by units. From the above it is evident that:
i) measurement is a purely descriptive process.
ii) measurement implies that the attributes of persons or objects are possessed
in varying degrees and the degree of variation can be measured and
represented.
iii) measurement, in essence, is a numerical process.
Common objects of measurement in sociology are individual’s characteristics,
interactions, interrelations, consciousness, participation, socialization, motivation,
etc. Some of the properties, of the individuals are visible and easily measurable,
such as age, income, height, etc. Some characteristics are abstract and it is difficult
to measure them.
These days, both in sociology and psychology, the measurement of beliefs and
attitudes is common because of the greater emphasis on a democratic form of
government which demands an assessment of peoples’ attitude and opinion, from
time to time. Besides this, public opinion studies are carried on regularly by
various public and governmental agencies. Even the commercial organizations
measure peoples’ opinion and attitude to know the future market of their products.
Polling agencies measure people’s opinion and attitude to know the people’s
preferences for particular political parties and candidates. Thus, they want to
predict, on the basis of such polling, the possibility of winning for any particular
candidate. Attitudinal studies may also help in predicting an individual’s future
behaviour and their possible reactions towards different developmental
programmes. Such studies might also help in making policies and specially in
implementing them. For example, the study of beliefs and attitudes of Indian
people towards illness and health measures or family size would help in instituting
a social and educational programme to mobilize the people towards vaccination
or adoption of family planning in urban areas.
Example: As farmers who have T.V. and radio have the same level of mass
media exposure as that of the small farmer having T.V. and radio, and, this,
in turn, is equal to the marginal farmer having T.V. and radio.
c) If (a>b) and (b>c) then (a>c). The third postulate is of more immediate and
practical importance for our purpose. It says “If a is greater than b, and b is
greater than c, then a is greater than c. Other symbols or words can be
substituted for greater than (>) less than (<), such as, is at a greater distance,
that is stronger than, and soon. Most measurement in psychology and
education depends on this postulate. It must be possible to assert ordinal-a
rank-order statements, such as a has more property than b, b has more of
property than c, thus, a has more property than c.
In the above section you have studied about the meaning and postulates of
measurement. Now, answer the questions given in Check Your Progress 1.
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Interval measurement should be used with due caution, especially when comparing
differences between two or more attributes. Comparisons are meaningful when
the origin, zero, for both the scales is the same and the units of measurements are
identical. Measuring temperature with a thermometer, measuring the time from
a selected starting moment, measuring the altitude from mean sea level are all
done with interval scales.
In interval scale has all the properties of a nominal scale (equivalence relation),
an ordinal scale (greater then or transitivity relation) and an ordered metric scale
(transitively relation in respect to distance between classes). In addition, this
scale is able to specify the ratio of any two intervals. It is, therefore, to be regarded
as more powerful measurement compared to the three others already discussed.
Interval scale puts objects or events into a continuum with such units that measure
intervals of equal distance. The starting point zero of the scale is arbitrarily chosen.
Statistical Tests for Nominal Scale: Since the symbols or labels attached to any
category are arbitrary and can be interchanged without altering essential
information contained in the scale, the only kind of descriptive statistics that can
be used are those, which would not be affected or altered by such interchange.
They are crude mode, proportion and frequency. The nominal scale data, however,
can be used for testing of hypothesis relating to distribution of events among the
classes. Chi-square test, Contingency Coefficient, and certain other tests based
on binomial expansion can be used for the purpose.
Statistical Tests for Ordinal Scale: Median is the most appropriate measure of
central tendency of the scores that are in an ordinal scale. Obviously, quartile
deviation is the measure of dispersion for such data. There are a number of
non-parametric tests to test a hypothesis with scores in an ordinal scale - runs
test, sign test, median test, Mann Whitney U- test, etc. These tests are often
referred to as ‘order statistics’ or ‘ranking statistics’. Interrelations can be computed
from rankings of two sets of observations on the same group of individuals.
Spearman’s Rank Difference, or Kendall Rank Correlation coefficients are
appropriate for such situations.
Statistical Tests for Interval Scale: The interval scale preserves both the ordering
of objects and the relative differences between them, even though the numbers
associated with the position of the object may be changed, following a regular
system. A set of observations will be scalable by interval scale if the data permits
a linear transformation. That is, if the equation y = a + bx, where a and b are two
positive constants, satisfies a set of real numbers, the numbers are said to be in
an interval scale.
All the common parametric tests - arithmetic mean, median, standard deviation,
product-moment correlation, etc., are applicable to data that follow an interval
scale. Non-parametric tests for statistical significance like Z, t, F are also
applicable to data in interval scale. 13
Measurement and Sampling Statistical Tests for Ratio Scale: Since the values in a ratio scale are real numbers
with a true zero (no upper limit) and only the unit of measurement is arbitrary,
the ratios between two numbers and intervals preserve all the information
contained in the scale even if these true numbers are multiplied by a true positive
constant. Any statistical test, parametric or non-parametric, is usable when a
ratio scale is used, such statistical tools as geometric mean and coefficient of
variation, which require knowledge of true scores, can be used with observations
that are in ratio scale.
vii) Practicability: This is concerned with wide range of factors like cost
effectiveness, convenience and interpretability. Some trade off is usually
needed between an ‘ideal’ tool and, that which the budget can afford. The
benefit to be derived should be commensurate with the cost incurred.
b) Situation: Situational factors may also come in the way of correct measurement.
Any condition which places a strain on interviews can have serious effects
on the interviewer- respondent rapport. For instance, if someone else is
present, he can distort responses by joining in or merely by being present. If
the respondent feels that anonymity is not assured, he may be reluctant to
express certain feelings.
15
Measurement and Sampling The researcher must know that correct measurement depends on successfully
meeting all of the problems listed above. He must, to the extent possible, try to
eliminate, neutralize, or, otherwise deal with all the possible sources of error so
that the final results may not be contaminated.
In the above sections, you read about various kinds of measurement and statistical
tests to be used in measurement. Now answer the questions given in Check Your
Progress 2.
1.10 KEYWORDS
Measurement : The process of assigning symbols/numbers to dimensions
of phenomena in order to characterize the status of a
phenomena as precisely as possible.
Scale : A device to measure something. Scaling technique is used
in ordering a series of items along some sort of continuum.
In short, they are methods of turning a series of qualitative
facts into a quantitative series.
Validity : Refers to the ability of a scale to measure what it is
supposed to measure.
Reliability : An attribute of consistency. A scale should give consistent
results.
Goode W.J.and Hatt P.K. (1981). Methods in Social Research. McGraw- Hill
Book Company, Singapore.
Hansraj (1990). Theory and Practice in Social Research. Asia Publishing House,
Culcutta.
Young P.V. (1996). Scientific Social Surveys and Research. Prentice –Hall of
India Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi.
17
Measurement and Sampling
1.12 CHECK YOUR PROGRESS – POSSIBLE
ANSWERS
Check Your Progress 1
1) When a scale has all the properties of ordinal and ordered metric scale, and,
when we have additional information about how large the distances
(intervals) between any two stimuli are, we have achieved a more powerful
measurement, stronger than ordinality. In such a device, a measurement has
been achieved in the sense of an interval scale.
18
Measurement
UNIT 2 SCALES AND TESTS
Structure
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Scales: Meaning and Techniques
2.3 Types of Rating Scales
2.4 Uses and Guidelines for Construction of Rating Scales
2.5 Rating Errors
2.6 Tests
2.7 Types of Objective Test Questions
2.8 Test Construction
2.9 Let Us Sum Up
2.10 Keywords
2.11 References and Selected Readings
2.12 Check Your Progress – Possible Answers
2.1 INTRODUCTION
Measurement plays an important role in any development research including
urban development research. This is especially true when the measurement
concepts are complex and when we do not possess the standardised measurement
tools. To overcome this, social science researchers develop self reporting measuring
instruments to assess people’s knowledge, opinion, perceptions, attitudes etc.,
on urban development programmes. Technically speaking these reporting
measurement instruments are popularly called as scales and tests. The scales and
tests are the most popular methods of observation and data collection in
behavioural sciences and more particularly in development studies.
After studying this unit, you should be able to:
• discuss the meaning and applicability of scales and tests.
• describe the important types of scales and tests.
• explain the test construction methodology.
The rating scale is very useful device in assessing quality – especially when
quality is difficult to measure objectively in the programmes of development.
Example: How good is the Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission
Programme?
19
Measurement and Sampling The above question can be hardly answered objectively. In this context, rating
scales measure or order entities with respect to quantitative attributes or traits of
the above programme. Certain rating scales permit estimation of magnitudes of
the programme on a continuum, while other methods provide only for relative
ordering of the entities.
Activity 1
Visit a nearby any development department and enquire about scales and
tests that they are using in measurement of outcomes of development
programmes. Write your observations.
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20 .......................................................................................................................
2) What do you mean by a rating scale? Scales and Tests
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3) Write the difference between comparative and non-comparative scaling
techniques.
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21
Measurement and Sampling 2.3.1 Graphic Rating Scale
Graphic rating scale (also called continuous rating scale) is quite simple and is
commonly used in practice. Graphic scale makes use of continuum along which
the rater places a mark (v) on a line to indicate his / her rating with respect to
certain characteristics. The line is usually labeled at each end. There are sometimes
a series of numbers, called scale points under the line.
Directions: Please give your frank opinion concerning the students’ characteristics
by putting an ‘X’ at the point along the scale that best describes the student.
a) Cooperation .........................................................................................
(Consider willingness Obstructive Always willing to work with
others)
b) Emotional Stability ......................................................................................
(Consider reactions in stress Unstable Well balanced)
Advantages
• One of the major advantages of graphic rating scale is that they are relatively
easy to use.
• Graphic scale provides opportunity for a given discrimination as that of
which the mater is capable and the fineness of scoring can be as great as
desired.
Limitations
• Respondents may check at almost any position along the continuum which
increases the difficulty of analysis.
• Meanings of the terms like obstructive, always willing, etc., may depend
upon respondent’s frame of reference.
How do you like the following information sources for obtaining information on
development programmes?
Information source Liking of information source
Like Like Neutral Dislike Dislike
very much Somewhat somewhat very much
Institutional Sources
BDO
VDO
Extension Personnel
Any other ( Please specify)
Non Institutional Sources
Other Beneficiaries
Key Personnel
Own Family Members
Any other ( Please specify)
Mass Media Sources
Radio
TV
ii) A rating scale may have as many divisions as can be readily distinguished
by the rates. Practically most scales have no more than 7 divisions. However,
usually they contain five divisions. By numbering each division in sequence
the description can be converted into arithmetic values for averaging and
for further statistical application.
24
iii) The rating scale is composed of two parts: Scales and Tests
• an instruction which names the subject and defines the continuum and
• a scale which defines the points to be used in rating
1c 3b 2d 4a
The investigator must arrange his items in any or all of the above forms
according to the nature of the item and its purpose.
25
Measurement and Sampling v) Anyone can serve as a rater where non-technical opinions, likes, dislikes
and matters of easy observation are to be rated. But only well-informed and
experienced persons should be selected for rating where technical
competence is required.
vi) Pooled judgements increase the reliability of any rating scale. Employ several
judges, depending on the rating situation to obtain desirable reliability.
Individual ratings when combine into final rating give a safer assessment.
Diagnostic Test: This test intends to assess the strength and weakness of a person
in one or more than one areas of his/her activities. It is conducted with a view to
carry out interventions in weak areas. It also makes an enquiry about the weak
areas of the respondent may be a student, employee or worker.
Mental Age
IQ = ————————— × 100
Chronological Age
Personality Test: Personality test intends to measure the personality traits of the
individuals. Some of the personality traits are cooperation, discipline, leadership,
personal appearance, punctuality, patriotism, confidence, team spirit, etc.
True/ False Test: The true/false or yes/no or right/wrong type of tests are most
commonly used. It is used to determine the respondent’s ability to recall the
facts.
Multiple Choices Test: In the multiple choice test, the respondents are given
multiple option of a question. Here the choices or the alternatives should be
written in such a way that it may not create ambiguity in the mind of respondents.
The multiple choices may contain more than one valid choice.
i) Life Expectancy
ii) Literacy
29
Measurement and Sampling Fill in the Blanks: In the fill in the blanks question, the respondent is asked to
supply correct answer to the blank left in the statement. However, while
formulation of fill-in-the-blanks test, too many blanks should not be provided
which will create confusion in the minds of respondents. One example of fill in
the blanks is given below:
Example: The JNNURM started in the year ———————
Matching: In the matching test, there are two columns right and left. The items
on the left column are to be paired with items on the right column. Items on the
left which constitute a set of related streams called premises and items on the
right are is called cassette options or responses of the items.
Example: Match column A with B
Column A Column B
1. Mouse Bicycle
2. Wheel Computer
3. Remote Television
Writing Items of the Test: Item writing is one of the very important aspects of
test construction. Although there is no set rule for item writing, yet lot depends
on the ingenuity, intuition, experience, knowledge, practice and imagination of
the test constructor. It can be said that writing test item is essentially an art.
Item Analysis
After the items are being written, they are carefully analysed and reviewed. In
item analysis, items are validated and suited for the purpose. The objectives of
item analysis are as follow:
• Helps to indicate the difficulty level of the item such as which is more
difficult, moderately difficult or easy.
• Help to provide indication regarding the ability of the item to discriminate
between inferior and superior item.
Two common indices used in item analysis are:
• Difficulty Index
• Discrimination Index
Difficulty Index: The difficulty index indicates how difficult an item is? The
difficulty value of an item indicates the proportion or percentage of candidates
who have given correct answer. This proportion or percentage is called Item
Difficulty Index. The formula used for the calculation of item difficulty index of
each item is given below.
R
IDI = —
N
IDI = Item difficulty index
R = Number of right responses
N = Total number of candidates attempting that item.
Besides this method which takes into consideration all the examiness, there is
also another method which can determine the index on the basis of only a portion
of the examinee. The formula is:
RU+RL
IDI = ————
NU+NL
Where
IDI = Item Difficultly Index
RU = Right responses in the Upper group
RL = Right responses in the Lower group.
NU = Number of examinees in Upper group
NL = Number of examinees in the lower group
For example if there are 200 examinees of a test, NU=50 and NC=50. Out of these
groups RU=25 and RL=25
Then:
25+25 50
IDI = ———— = ——— = 0.50
50+50 100
31
Measurement and Sampling Discrimination Index: The discrimination index distinguishes between the well-
informed examinees to that of the less-informed examinee. It is the degree to
which the single item separates the superior from the inferior individuals in the
trait or group of trait being measured.
RH-RL
DI = ————
N
Where:
DI = Discrimination Index
RH = Number of rights in the higher ability group
RL = Total Number of rights in the lower ability group.
N = Total number of examinees in either of the group.
Let us explain this with the help of an example. After getting the responses from
100 examinees they were divided into upper group (25%) and lower
group(25%).Suppose in a particular item, right responses in the upper group is
80 and right responses in the lower group is 60, then the item discrimination
index is:
80-60
DI = ———— = 0.20
100
This value of 0.20 clearly states that item has negligible discriminatory power.
Such items are usually dropped or suitably modified.
The factor which influences item difficulty and item discrimination index are:
• The ambiguity and complexity of items in a test item may lower the difficulty
index value of the item.
• Previous learning experiences may be helpful in deciding the item difficulty
index or discrimination index.
• It depends on the ability of the test constructor to effectively frame the
distracters. They must be appealing to those who do not know the correct
answer.
Validity of the Test: Validity means what the test measures. There are various
kinds of validity viz., criterion- referenced validity and construct validity.
Norms of the Test: Norms are set to meaningfully interpret the scores obtained
on the test. The common types of norms are the age norms, the grade norms, the
percentile norms, etc. For example a test constructed for class-v student should
not be administered over the class-viii student.
2.10 KEYWORDS
Scales and Tests : They are the self reporting measuring instruments
to assess people’s knowledge, opinion, perceptions,
attitudes etc.
Five divisions : like very much – like somewhat – neutral – dislike somewhat
– dislike very much
2) The four important types of rating scales are: graphic; descriptive; numerical
and itemized rating scales.
35
Measurement and Sampling 3) The common rating errors are: halo effect; personal bias; logical error; error
of central tendency; generosity error; error of severity and error of leniency.
3) Various types of objective test questions are : true/ false; multiple choice;
fill in the blanks; matching and; completion.
4) The objectives of item analysis are : to indicate the difficulty level of the
item such as which is more difficult, moderately difficult or easy and ; to
provide indication regarding the ability of the item to discriminate between
inferior and superior item.
36
Scales and Tests
UNIT 3 RELIABILITY AND VALIDITY
Structure
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Reliability
3.3 Methods of Determining the Reliability
3.4 Validity
3.5 Types of Validity
3.6 Reliability or Validity - Which is More Important?
3.7 Let Us Sum Up
3.8 Keywords
3.9 References and Selected Readings
3.10 Check Your Progress – Possible Answers
3.1 INTRODUCTION
Dear learners, in the first unit of this block, we discussed that measurement of
social and psychological variables is a complex and demanding task. In urban
development research, the common term for any type of measurement devise is
‘instrument’. Thus the instrument could be a test, scale, questionnaire, interview
schedule etc. An important question that is often addressed is what is the reliability
and validity of the measuring instrument? Therefore, the purpose of this unit is
to make you understand the concept of reliability and validity and their
interrelationship in urban development research.
After studying this unit you should be able to:
• discuss the meaning of reliability and methods of determining the reliability
of measuring instruments.
• describe the meaning of validity, approaches and types of validating
measuring instruments.
• differentiate the interrelationship between reliability and validity of measuring
instruments.
3.2 RELIABILITY
In the context of development research, one of the most important criterions for
the quality of measurement is reliability of the measuring instrument. A reliable
person for instance, is one whose behavior is consistent, dependable and
predictable – what (s)he will do tomorrow and next week will be consistent
with what (s)he does today and what (s)he has done last week. An unreliable
person is one whose behavior is much more variable and one can say (s)he is
inconsistent.
The inherent aspects and synonyms of reliability are:
• dependability
• stability
37
Measurement and Sampling • consistency
• predictability
• accuracy
• equivalence
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3) Write the synonyms for reliability.
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4) How can you improve the reliability of measuring instruments?
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Limitations
• Researchers are often able to obtain only a measure of a phenomenon at a
single point in time.
• Expensive to conduct test and retest and some time impractical as well.
• Memory effects lead to magnified reliability estimates. If the time interval
between two measurements is short, the respondents will remember their
early responses and will appear more consistent than they actually are.
• Require a great deal of participation by the respondents and sincerity, devotion
by the research worker. Because, behaviour changes and personal
characteristics may likely to influence the re-test as they are changing from
day to day.
• The validity process of re-measurement may intensify difference in momentary
factors such as anxiety, motivation etc.
• The interpretation of test-retest correlation is not necessary straightforward.
A low correlation may not indicate low reliability, may instead signify that
the underlying theoretical concept itself has changed.
Example: The attitude of a person towards functioning of a public hospital
may be very different before and after the person’s visit. The true change in
this example is interpreted as instability of attitude scale measurement.
• The longer the time interval between measurements, the more likely that the
concept has changed.
• The process of measuring a phenomenon can induce change in the phenomenon
itself. This process is called reactivity. In measuring a person’s attitude at
test, the person can be sensitized to the subject under investigation and
demonstrate change during retest. Thus the test - retest correlation will be
low.
40
Advantages Reliability and Validity
• The use of two parallel tests forms provides a very sound basis for estimating
the precision of a psychological or educational test
• Superior to test- retest method, because it reduces the memory related inflated
reliability.
Limitations
• Basic limitation is the practical difficulty of constructing alternate forms of
two tests that are parallel.
• Requires each person’s time twice.
• To administer a secondary separate test is often likely to represent a somewhat
burdensome demand upon available resources.
In split-half method, 1st-divide test into halves. The most commonly used way
to do this would be to assign odd numbered items to one half of the test and even
numbered items to the other, this is called, Odd-Even reliability. 2nd- Find the
correlation of scores between the two halves by using the Pearson r formula.
3rd- Adjust or revaluate correlation using Spearman-Brown formula which
increases the estimate reliability even more.
Spearman-Brown formula
2r
r = ———
1+ r
Limitations
Example: The correlation between the first and second halves of the test
would be different from the correlation between odd and even items.
41
Measurement and Sampling
Major Limitations of Reliability Estimating Methods
Test-retest method: Experience in the first testing usually will influence
responses in the second testing.
Alternative form method: It can be quite difficult to construct alternative
forms of a test that are parallel.
Split-half method: The correlation between the halves will differ depending
on how the total number of items is divided into halves.
Alternate form method provide excellent estimate of reliability in spite of
its limitation of constructing two forms of a test. To over come this limitation,
it is recommended that, randomly divide a large collection of items in half
to have two test administrations.
3.4 VALIDITY
According to Goode and Hatt, a measuring instrument (scale, test etc) possesses
validity when it actually measures what it claims to measure. The subject of
validity is complex and very important in development research because it is in
this more than anywhere else, that the nature of reality is questioned. It is possible
to study reliability without inquiring into the nature and meaning of one’s variable.
While measuring certain physical characteristics and relatively simpler attributes
of persons, validity is no great problem. For example, the anthropometrics
measurements of a pre-school child i.e., head and chest circumference can be
measured by a measuring instrument having standard number of centimeters or
inches. The weight of the child can be measured in pounds and kilograms. On
42 the other hand, if a child development extension professional wish to study the
relation between malnutrition and intellectual development of pre-school children, Reliability and Validity
there are neither any rule to measure the degree of malnutrition nor there any
scales or clear cut physical attributes to measure intellectual development. It is
necessary in such cases to invent indirect means to measure these characteristics.
These means are often so indirect that the validity of the measurement and its
product is doubtful.
Limitation
• Experts too are human and nothing but logical validity can result from
this approach. Therefore, jury validation can be considered only slightly
superior to logical validation.
iii) Known-Group
This technique is a variant of the jury procedure. In this case, the validity is
implied from the known attitudes and other characteristics of analytical
groups, however, rather than from their specific expertness. Thus, if a scale
were being devised for the purpose of measuring the attitudes of people
towards the Church, the questions could be tested by administering them to
one group known to attend Church, to be active in Church activities and
otherwise to give evidence of a favorable attitude towards this institution.
These answers would be compared with those from a group known not to
attend Church and also known to oppose the Church. If the scale failed to
discriminate between the two groups it could not be considered to measure
this attitude with validity. The known group technique of validation is
frequently used and should not be discarded for falling somewhat short of
perfection.
Limitation
• There might be other differences between the groups in addition to
their known behavior with regard to religion, which might account for
the differences in the scale scores.
Example: Differences in age, socioeconomic status, ethnic background etc.
• Further perhaps the known behavior under the study might be associated
with a differential inclination to agree or disagree on a question in
general. Hence careful use of the known group technique should be
made.
In Fig. 3.1, the gun is aimed in a valid direction towards the target, and all the
shots are consistently directed, indicating that they are reliable.
In Fig. 3.2, the gun is also aimed in the direction of the target, but the shots are
widely scattered, indicating low consistency or reliability. Thus the poor reliability
undermines an attempt to achieve validity.
Fig. 3.2: Unreliable which undermines the valid aim of the gun – Not usefull
In Fig. 3.3, the gun is not pointed at the target, making it invalid, but there is
great consistency in the shots in one direction, indicating that it is reliable (In a
sense, it is very reliably invalid).
48
Reliability and Validity
In Fig. 3.4, the gun is not pointed at the target making it invalid, and the lack of
consistency in the direction of the shots indicates its poor reliability.
We may arrive at a conclusion that Fig. 3.1 represents the ideal in measurement.
However, due to the limitations of measuring instruments in extension and
development studies / social and behavioural sciences, we should not expect
perfect reliability and validities. The direction of gun should be off at least a
small amount - indicating a less than perfect validity. We also should expect
some scatter in the shots, indicating less- than - perfect reliability. Clearly, our
first priority should be to point the gun in the correct general direction, which
promotes validity and then work on increasing reliability. This indicates that
both reliability and validity are important in measurement, but among them
validity is more important.
In the second part of the unit we have discussed the concept of validity and
understood a measuring instrument possesses validity when it actually measures
what it claims to measure. We examined the four approaches of validation of
measuring instruments: logical validity / face validity, jury opinion, known-group
and independent criteria. We also discussed the three types of validities and found
that both content and criterion validities have limited usefulness in assessing the
quality of development measures. In contrast, construct validation has generalized
applicability in the extension and development research by placing the measure
in theoretical context.
In the third and final part of the unit, we discussed, the relationship between
reliability and validity and concluded that both reliability and validity are
important in measurement, but among them validity is more important.
3.8 KEYWORDS
Reliability : Reliability means consistency with which the
instrument yields similar results.
Validity : Validity is the ability of a measuring instrument
to actually measure what it claims to measure.
Logical Validity : It refers to either theoretical or commonsense
analysis, which concludes simply that, the items,
being what they, the nature of the continuum
cannot be other than it is stated to be.
Jury Opinion : The confirmation of the logic is secured from a
group of persons who would be considered experts
in the field in which the measuring instrument is
being used.
Known-Group : The validity is implied from the known attitudes
and other characteristics of analytical groups,
however, rather than from their specific expertness.
Content Validity : Content validity is the representativeness or
sampling adequacy of the content.
Predictive Validity : It concerns a future criterion which is correlated
with the relevant measure.
Concurrent Validity : It is assessed by correlating a measure and the
criterion at the same point in time.
50
Construct Validity : Construct validity involves validation of not only Reliability and Validity
the measuring instrument but of the theory
underlying it.
1) Yes. I agree with the statement ‘one validates not the measuring instrument,
but the purpose for which it is being used’ because it is quite possible for a
measuring instrument to be relatively valid for measuring one kind of
phenomenon, but entirely invalid for assessing other phenomenon.
51
Measurement and Sampling 2) The four approaches to validation of measuring instrument are: logical
validity / face validity; jury opinion; known-group and; independent criteria.
52
Reliability and Validity
UNIT 4 SAMPLING
Structure
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Sampling: Meaning and Concept
4.3 Types of Sampling
4.4 Sample Design Process
4.5 Errors in Sampling
4.6 Determination of Sample Size
4.7 Let Us Sum Up
4.8 Keywords
4.9 References and Selected Readings
4.10 Check Your Progress – Possible Answers
4.1 INTRODUCTION
Sampling has been an age old practice in everyday life. Whenever we want to
buy a huge quantity of a commodity, we decide about the total lot by simply
examining a small fraction of it. It has been established that the sample survey if
planned properly, can give very precise information. Since in surveys a part of
the population is only surveyed and inference is drawn about the whole population,
the results likely to be different from the population values. But the advantage
with the sample survey is that this type of error can be measured and controlled
and it can be eliminated to great extent by employing properly trained persons in
surveys. The other advantage of sample surveys are that it is less time consuming
and involves less cost. Usually, the population is too large for the researcher to
attempt to survey all of its members. A small, but carefully chosen sample can be
used to represent the population. The sample reflects the characteristics of the
population from which it is drawn.
After studying this unit, you should be able to
• discuss the meaning and importance of sampling
• describe the steps and criteria involved in selecting a sampling procedure
• distinguish different types of sampling
• explain the process of determination of sampling size
54
Now that you have read about the meaning and concept of sampling, answer the Sampling
following questions in Check Your Progress 1.
N
K = ——
n
K = skip interval
N = Universe size
n = Sample size
For example if we have to select a sample of 100 persons from a universe of
1000 population, then the skip is 10. In this case one number between 1 and
10 has to be selected. Suppose 5 is selected, then the first sample would be
5th and the next one 15th, 25th, 35th, 45th, and so on. One of the advantages of
this method is that it is more convenient than other methods and simple to
design. Again, it is used with very large populations.
56
3) Stratified Random Sample Sampling
The sub-populations are called strata. The number in each stratum should be
known. A sample is drawn from each stratum independently. The sample
sizes within ‘k’ strata are denoted by n1, n2, ........................, nk respectively.
If the total sample size ‘n’ is to be drawn from the target population than
n1 + n2 + ............. + nk = n
For example, the selected village may have households of SC, ST, OBCs,
Others, Minority. The village population first may be divided in to smaller
sub groups of different sections of population (stratum) and, thus, the village
sample may consist of households from each stratum so that sample may
contain all the important characteristics of the village population. In the
case of SRS, the sample of all strata/ sub groups sometimes may not be
included or covered adequately.
57
Measurement and Sampling Consider the following examples:
• A selected village may have households of SC(10%), ST (5%), OBCs
(45%), Others (30%), Minority (10%). A village sample of 100 may
constitute the households of various casts in the above proportion/
percentage so that the sample may contain all important characteristics
of village population.
Suppose you have to select 5 villages from the list of 10 using PPS sampling.
First arrange all villages in ascending or descending order of population size
as may be seen in column 2 of the table 1. Then, in the third column, find the
cumulative sum of population size and in the fourth column, assign them
range of serial numbers as shown below in the table.
58
Table 4.1: Village population Size Sampling
Please notice that the total population of all villages in the target population is a
four digit number (4250). Therefore, initially, a random number in four digits,
which is less than or equal to the total population of all villages (4250), is selected
from the random number table. For example, it is 0331 which will correspond to
serial number 2. Next random number is 4320; therefore, it may be discarded.
The next number selected is 1296; therefore, it will correspond to serial number
5. The next random numbers may be 1553, 2402 and 3640 which will correspond
to serial numbers 6, 8, and 10 respectively. In this way, selected villages will be
serial numbers 2, 5, 6, 8, 10.
5) Cluster Sample
Cluster sampling is a sampling technique used when natural groupings are
evident in a statistical population. It is often used in marketing research. In
this technique, the total population is divided into these known groups (or
clusters) and a sample of the groups is selected. Then the required information
is collected from the elements within each selected group. This may be done
for every element in these groups, or a sub sample of elements may be selected
within each of these groups. The technique works best when most of the
variation in the population is within the groups, not between them.
Briefly, the procedure for selecting a cluster sample is given below.
• The population is divided into N groups, called clusters.
• The researcher randomly selects n clusters to include in the sample.
• The number of observations within each cluster is known:
M = M1 + M2 + M3 + ....……. + MN
• Each element of the population can be assigned to one, and only one,
cluster.
59
Measurement and Sampling Cluster sampling should be used only when it is economically justified - when
reduced costs can be used to overcome losses in precision. This is most likely to
occur in the following situations.
Constructing a complete list of population elements is difficult, costly, or
impossible. For example, it may not be possible to list all elementary units
of the populations, for example all households in village, block, etc. However,
it would be possible to randomly select a subset of villages, blocks (stage 1
of cluster sampling) and, then, interview the head of family in a house of the
selected cluster (stage 2).
The population is concentrated in natural clusters (city blocks, schools,
hospitals, etc.). For example, to conduct personal interviews of operating
room nurses, it might make sense to randomly select a sample of hospitals
(stage 1 of cluster sampling) and then interview all of the operating room
nurses at that hospital. Using cluster sampling, the interviewer could conduct
many interviews in a single day at a single hospital. Simple random sampling,
in contrast, might require the interviewer to spend all day travelling to conduct
a single interview at a single hospital.
As discussed above, in the cluster sampling method, the primary selecting unit
is not a household, rather a natural cluster of households, viz., hamlets in villages,
or, created clusters, viz., schools, malls, etc., may be decided. The first list of
clusters may be selected using the SRS or the PPS sampling techniques. Then,
from each selected cluster, all units, or, some of the units, may be selected as per
the required sample size using Stratified Random Sampling or the Systematic
Random Sampling techniques.
1) Convenience Sample
The convenience sample is so called because it is relatively easy to obtain
and contact. In this method the investigators are usually asked to select the
people for the interview in accordance to the instructions from the researcher.
The benefit of a convenience sample is that the interviewer can usually get
interviews done quickly and cheaply. Convenience sampling is appropriate
for exploratory research.
60
2) Judgments Sample Sampling
3) Quota Sample
Quota sampling is like stratified sampling. In quota sampling, the population
is categorized into several strata which consist of an expected size, and the
samples are considered to be important for the population they represent.
The advantages of quota sample are that it involves a short time duration, is
less costly, and gives moderate representation to a heterogeneous population.
4) Snowball Sample
This is one of the important types of non-probability sampling. In snowball
sampling, the investigator encourages the respondents to give the names of
other acquaintances and it continues growing in size and chains until the
research purpose is achieved. It is also, therefore, known as networking,
chain, or referred sampling method. It is very useful in the study of networking
and is less costly.
Probability Non-
Sampling Probability
Sampling
Sampling Frame
A sampling frame is a listing of all the elements from which you will draw the
sample. In the ideal situation, the sampling frame will include all elementary
units in the target population. A list of employees in an organization can create a
sampling frame that exactly matches the population of interest. You should try to
ensure that the sampling frame has the following characteristics.
• It is actually created from the target population.
• It is as complete a list as possible of the elements in the population.
In this section, you have read about the various types of sampling and the sample
design process. Now, answer the following questions in Check Your Progress 2.
i) Sampling Error
By definition, when you have collected a sample from a population, you
have less than complete information about the population. This, in turn,
means that there is a chance that the sample statistics you calculate, (for
example, the mean of a variable, a frequency distribution, etc.) may not be
an unbiased estimate of the population parameter.
Variance sd
Standard error = =
n n
Where n refers to the number of respondents (sample size).
64
As the sample size increases, the standard error of a statistic decreases; as Sampling
the variance, or dispersion, of a statistic increases, so does its sampling
error.
Sampling error decreases rapidly as the sample size increases from a few
hundred to about 1000 respondents. However, there is rarely any reason to
select larger samples while comparing the increased cost of survey with
reduction in sampling error (see ‘Calculating the Sample Size’, in next
section).
The formula for the standard error of a proportion is simple and easy to
apply:
Standard error =
There are two critical characteristics of these non sampling errors. First, as
mentioned above, their sum is often greater than the sampling error. Second,
and more insidious, these errors are often impossible to estimate for any one
survey, especially measurement and non-response errors. Consequently, using
Equation 6.1 and Equation 6.2 to estimate the error in a statistics often provides
a false sense of security.
Experienced survey researchers take this fact into account by being more cautions
in discussing survey results than the sampling error alone would indicate, and
you should do the same. Ideally, the other sources of error would balance
themselves out so that errors in one direction negate errors in the other directions,
but you cannot assume that this is the case.
65
Measurement and Sampling
4.6 DETERMINATION OF SAMPLE SIZE
The sample size can be determined by:
i) Using a formula
ii) Using a table
n
nf =
1 + (n / N) (when population is less than 10,000)
(1.96) 2 (.50´.50)
n=
(0.05) 2
3.84´ 0.25
=
(.0025)
0.96
=
0.0025
= 384
If we use the more convenient 2.0 for the Z statistic, then the sample size will be
smaller.
= 286
66
4.6.2 Determining Sample Size by Using a Table Sampling
Another way to determine sample size is to rely on published tables which provide
the sample size for a given set of criteria. Table 1 presents sample size values
that will be appropriate for many common sampling problems. The table includes
sample sizes for both continuous and categorical data assuming alpha levels of
.10, .05, or .01.
Table 4.1: Table for Determining Minimum Returned Sample Size for a
Given Population Size for Continuous and Categorical Data
Sample size
100 46 55 68 74 80 87
In this session you studied about errors in sampling and determination of sample
size. Now, answer the questions given in Check Your Progress 3.
67
Measurement and Sampling Check Your Progress 3
Note: a) Write your answer in about 50 words.
b) Check your answer with possible answers given at the end of the unit
1) What is sampling error?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
2) How the sample size is determined using the formula?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
4.8 KEYWORDS
Sample : A sample is simply a subset of a larger aggregation,
i.e., typically a population and it contains all the
characteristics of a population,
69
Measurement and Sampling Check Your Progress 2
The sub-populations are called strata. The number in each stratum should
be known. A sample is drawn from each stratum independently. The sample
sizes within ‘k’ strata are denoted by respectively. If the total sample size n
is to be drawn from the target population then
So, if any survey organization decides that they need 700 respondents, and
the expected response rate from the population is 50%, then 700/0.50, or
70 1400, customers must be drawn from the sampling frame.
Quantitative Data
UNIT 1 QUANTITATIVE DATA COLLECTION Collection Methods and
Devices
METHODS AND DEVICES
Structure
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Primary Data Collection: Meaning and Methods
1.3 Questionnaire Method of Data collection
1.4 Interview Schedule
1.5 Secondary Data Collection Methods
1.6 Let Us Sum Up
1.7 References and Selected Readings
1.8 Check Your Progress - Possible Answers
1.1 INTRODUCTION
There are two types of primary research: one is done through quantitative data
collection and the other, through qualitative data collection. Customarily, quantitative
data collection means using numbers to assess information. As you are aware,
some kinds of information are numerical in nature, for example, a person’s age,
or annual income. The answers to these questions are in numbers.
Quantitative data is used for testing of a hypothesis and drawing inferences.
Quantitative data is collected by using the following two set of data resources:
i) Primary data
ii) Secondary data.
In this unit, we will discuss in detail, methods of collecting primary and secondary
data, along with the advantages and disadvantages of the methods.
After reading this unit, you should be able to
• explain the primary data collection methods
• discuss the questionnaire and interview methods of data collection
• describe secondary methods of data collection
i) Personal Interview
In personal interviews, the interviewer or investigator personally approaches
the interviewee and administer questions. This method is largely followed
in research and the accuracy of data is very high. However, it is an expensive
method.
iii) Telephone
In this method, the investigator administers a questionnaire by seeking
responses from the respondent over the telephone. It is largely administered
to the urban respondents where telephone facilities are widely available.
However, the success of this method depends on the availability of telephone
with the respondents. It is also expensive as well.
Implementing a Telephone Survey
• Arrange the facilities for survey.
• Identify the sample and their telephone numbers.
• Send an advance letter if addresses are available with information
on when you will be likely to contact respondents, during working
or non-working hours and how much time you need.
• Prepare well on the background information about the survey to
answer respondents questions, if any.
• Develop an interview schedule.
• Decide on the number of calls to make to each number. In local
surveys six to seven calls are customary.
• Decide how to handle refusals.
• Stick to the time schedule
7
Data Collection and Analysis Sample Call Sheet for Telephone Interviews
A call-sheet is used for each number chosen from the sampling frame. The
interviewer records information that allows the supervisor to decide what to
do with each number that has been processed. Call sheets are attached to
questionnaires after an interview is completed.
iv) E-Mail
With the IT revolution, nowadays, questionnaires are attached to the e- mails
and sent to respondents who send an answer through return e-mail. The
success of this method depends on the availability of internet facilities.
ii) Begin with a covering letter: the front page of the questionnaire must contain
an introduction to investigator or institution collecting data, and the purpose
of the quest. If the questionnaires are to be returned by mail, then, the address
to which they are to be sent must be clearly mentioned.
vi) Avoid asking controversial questions: do not include questions which are
controversial in nature, or, are too personal or specific to community
sentiments. Hypothetical questions, too, need to be avoided.
i) Size: the size of the questionnaire depends on the scope of the study. Adequate
space should be provided for recording the comments and suggestions of
the respondents. However, a single space is needed provide for recording
the response. The Coding of questionnaire will reduced the need for space.
Taking all these factors into consideration, the size of the questionnaire can
be fixed, accordingly.
ii) Quality of the paper: good quality paper should be used in the question so
that it lasts for a longer period. Except for the front page, white papers may
be used in other pages.
iii) Covering Letter: Every questionnaire must have a covering letter. The
purpose of the questionnaire must be clearly mentioned. Assurance should
be given that the information gathered will be used only for research purpose,
and be given confidential treatment.
Sample Questionnaire
Indira Gandhi National Open University
School of Extension and Development Studies
PG Diploma in Urban Planning and Development
In this section, you studied about quantitative data collection and the questionnaire
method of data collection. Now, answer the questions given in Check Your
Progress-1.
12
Check Your Progress 1 Quantitative Data
Collection Methods and
Note: a) Write your answer in about 50 words. Devices
b) Check your answer with possible answers given at the end of the unit
1) What is primary data?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
2) What are the advantages of a questionnaire?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
ii) Training of the Field Staff: Before sending field investigators for data
collection, try to give them proper training on the interview schedule. If
possible, some orientation on various aspects of the problem may be given.
It will enable the field investigator to effectively interact with the respondents.
Nowadays, the NFHS (National Family Health Survey), RCH (Reproductive
and Child Health) surveys and many base line surveys conducted by various
agencies spend a lot of money in training of the field investigator before
sending them for data collection.
13
Data Collection and Analysis iii) Method of Conducting an Interview: The field investigator must be
practiced in conducting interviews; otherwise, respondents sometimes may
not allow them to take the interviews. He must approach the respondents
politely, introduce himself/herself and tell them the purpose of interview
and the confidentiality involved in it. The respondents must be approached
by the field investigator according to their convenience. Getting correct
information from the informants depends on the skill of the field investigator.
14
Quantitative Data
3) Toilet facilities; Collection Methods and
Devices
i) Flush (…..)
ii) Pit (…..)
iii) Open field (…..)
iv) Any other (…..)
4A) Main source of light;
i) Electricity (…..)
ii) Kerosene/Oil (…..)
iii) Gas (…..)
iv) Any other (…..)
4B) Main source of cooking;
i) Traditional chulha (…..)
ii) Bio-gas/gas (…..)
iii) Kerosene/electric stove (…..)
iv) Any other (…..)
5) Communication Media;
i) Radio/transistor/tape recorder (…..)
ii) Television (…..)
iii) Newspaper/magazine (…..)
iv) Any other (…..)
6) Agricultural land owned by the household in their village
i) 1-10 Bigha (…..)
ii) 11-20 Bigha (…..)
iii) 21-30 Bigha (…..)
iv) 31-40 Bigha (…..)
v) 41 Bigha and above (…..)
(Note : One hectare is equivalent to approximately 12 Bigha)
15
Data Collection and Analysis
IV) Household Profile
Marital Status
Sr. Members of the house
Relationship
Occupation
No. hold (start from Head
Education
Diseases
of the house hold)
Age
Sex
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
18
1.5.1 Precautions in the use of Secondary data Quantitative Data
Collection Methods and
While using secondary data for the study, users have to be careful. Sometimes, Devices
the data published by an individual researcher may be full of errors and even
drawn from an inadequate sample. Some factors to keep in mind while using the
data from secondary sources are listed below.
Adequacy –sometimes data available from the secondary, sources are not
adequate for the investigation. Data may either be from a different time period,
or partially fulfil the requirement of the study. Therefore, adequacy of the data
must be ensured before conducting the study.
Reliability – before using secondary data, its reliability must be taken into
consideration. For example, the reliability on sample size and the sampling method
used in the collection of data may be taken into consideration. Besides, the
investigator has also to know the degree of bias in collection of data.
Suitability –the investigator has to check whether the data is suitable for the
purpose of the research study. Sometimes, the secondary data may be suitable
for tabular presentation, but, unsuitable for statistical analysis.
The investigator has to take all these factors into consideration before using the
secondary data.
In this section you read about the secondary data methods. Now try and answer
the questions in Check Your Progress-3.
Dillon, W.R., Madden, T.. and Firtle, N. H., (1994) Marketing Research in a
Research Environment, 3rd edition, Irwin.
Green, P.E. Tull, D.S. and Albaum G (1993) Research methods for marketing
decisions, 5th edition, Prentice Hall, p.136.
Pretty JN, Guyt I, Thompson J, Scones I (1995) Participatory Learning & Action.
A Trainer’s Guide. London: International Institute for environment and
Development (IIED).
22
Quantitative Data
UNIT 2 QUALITATIVE DATA COLLECTION Collection Methods and
Devices
METHODS AND DEVICES
Structure
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Qualitative Data - Meaning and Concept
2.3 Methods and Techniques of Qualitative Data Collection
2.4 Features of Qualitative and Quantitative Research
2.5 Let Us Sum Up
2.6 Keywords
2.7 References and Selected Readings
2.8 Check Your Progress – Possible Answers
2.1 INTRODUCTION
Data Collection is an important aspect of any type of research study. Data
collection techniques allow us to systematically collect information about the
subject of our study (people, objects, phenomena), and about the environment.
In the collection of data we have to be systematic. If data are collected haphazardly,
it will be difficult to answer our research questions in a conclusive way. Inaccurate
data collection can impact the results of a study and ultimately lead to invalid
results.
After studying this unit, you should be able to:
• discuss the meaning and concept of qualitative data.
• describe the features of various methods and devices used for qualitative
data collection.
• state the uses and limitations of various qualitative data collection methods.
When to use observations: Observations can be useful during both the formative
and summative phases of evaluation. For example, during the formative phase,
observations can be useful in determining whether or not the project is being
delivered and operated as planned. In the hypothetical project, observations could
be used to describe the faculty development sessions, examining the extent to
which participants understand the concepts, ask the right questions, and are
engaged in appropriate interactions. Such formative observations could also
provide valuable insights into the teaching styles of the presenters and how they
are covering the material.
Advantages
i) Subjective bias may be eliminated, if observation is done accurately>
ii) Information relates to current state of affairs ; and it is
iii) Independent of respondents’ willingness or capability to respond.
Limitations
i) A time consuming and expensive method
ii) A limited amount of information may be available; and
iii) Extraneous factors may interfere with the task of observation.
24
Types of observation: Qualitative Data Collection
Methods and Devices
Structured and unstructured observation: in case the observation is
characterized by a careful definition of the units to be observed, the manner of
recording the observed information, standardized conditions of observation, and
the selection of pertinent data of observation, then the observation is called as
structured observation. But, when the observation is conducted without these
features thought out in advance, the same is termed an unstructured observation.
Structured observation is considered appropriate in descriptive studies, whereas,
in an exploratory study, the observational procedure should be relatively
unstructured.
Observations usually are guided by a structured protocol. The protocol can take
a variety of forms, ranging from the request for a narrative, describing events
seen to a checklist or a rating scale of specific behaviours/activities that address
the evaluation question of interest. The use of a protocol helps assure that all
observers are gathering the pertinent information and, with appropriate training,
applying the same criteria in the evaluation. For example, an observational
25
Data Collection and Analysis approach is selected to gather data on the faculty training sessions, the instrument
developed would explicitly guide the observer to examine the kinds of activities
in which participants were interacting, the role(s) of the trainers and the
participants, the types of materials provided and used, the opportunity for hands-
on interaction, etc.
Field notes are frequently used to provide more in-depth background or to help
the observer remember salient events if some forms are not completed at the
time of observation. Field notes contain the description of what has been observed.
The descriptions must be factual, accurate, and thorough without being judgmental
and cluttered by trivia. The date and time of the observation should be recorded,
and everything that the observer believes to be worth noting should be included.
No information should be trusted to future recall.
Types of interview
Interviews may be of different types according to the needs of the situation.
Structured interview: For this purpose an interview schedule is used which is
well structured with specific questions to be asked. The questions are precisely
worded and systematically organised, and are prepared in advance after requisite
pre-testing. The interviewer is not expected to make any change while
interviewing the respondents. The data received are comparable and are more
amenable to statistical analyses. The structured interview is also known as
standardized, controlled or guided interview.
Unstructured interview: Here the interviewer proceeds with some well thought
26 out themes or guidelines to be inquired into, and brings out the required
information from the respondents through the process of conversation. The Qualitative Data Collection
Methods and Devices
situation is free and informal and no interview schedule is used. This provides
more flexibility and freedom, but at the same time demands deep knowledge
and greater skill on the part of the interviewer. The process may yield good
amount of information, but the data lack comparability and are less amenable to
statistical analysis. Unstructured interview is suitable for exploratory or
formulative research studies.
Characteristics: the important characteristics of the case study method are listed
below.
i) In this method, the researcher can take a single social unit or more such
units for his study purpose.
ii) Here the selected unit is studied intensively, i.e., it is studied in minute
detail. Generally, the study extends over a long period of time to ascertain
the natural history of the unit so as to obtain enough information for drawing
correct inferences.
iii) In the context of this method we make a complete study of the social unit
covering all facets. Through this method we try to understand the complex
of factors that are operative within a social unit as an integrated totality.
iv) Using this method, the approach happens to be qualitative and not
quantitative. Mere quantitative information is not collected. Every possible
effort is made to collect information concerning all aspects of life. As such,
the case study method deepens our perception and gives us a clear insight
into life. For instance, in the case study method, we not only study how
many crimes a man has committed, but we peep into the factors that forced
him to commit crimes when we are making a case study of a man who is a
criminal. The objective of the study may be to suggest ways to reform the
criminal.
v) In respect of the case study method, an effort is made to know the mutual
inter-relationship I of causal factors.
vi) We study behaviour pattern of the concerned unit directly, and not by an
indirect and abstract approach.
vii) The case study method results in fruitful hypotheses, along with the data
which may be helpful in testing them, and, thus, this method enables
generalized knowledge to get richer and richer. In its absence, generalized
social science may get handicapped.
28
Assumptions: the case study method is based on several assumptions. The Qualitative Data Collection
Methods and Devices
important assumptions may be listed as follows.
i) The assumption of uniformity in basic human nature, in spite of the fact that
human behaviour may vary according to situations.
ii) The assumption of studying the natural history of the unit concerned.
iii) The assumption of comprehensive study of the unit concerned.
Major phases involved
i) Recognition and determination of the status of the phenomenon to be
investigated or the unit of attention.
ii) Collection of data, examination, and history of the given phenomenon.
iii) Diagnosis and identification of causal factors as a basis for remedial
developmental treatment.
iv) Application of remedial measures, i.e., treatment and therapy (this phase is
often characterized as case work).
v) Follow-up programme to determine effectiveness of the treatment applied.
When to use focus groups: When conducting evaluations, focus groups are
useful in answering the same type of questions as in-depth interviews. Specific
applications of the focus group method in evaluations include
• identifying and defining problems in project implementation
• identifying project strengths, weaknesses, and recommendations
• assisting with interpretation of quantitative findings
• obtaining perceptions of project outcomes and impacts
• generating new ideas.
Although focus groups and in-depth interviews share many characteristics, they
should not be used interchangeably.
Focus group participants are typically asked to reflect on the questions asked by
the moderator. Participants are permitted to hear each other’s responses and to
make additional comments beyond their own original responses as they hear
what other people have to say. It is not necessary for the group to reach any kind
of consensus, nor is it necessary for people to disagree. The moderator must
keep the discussion flowing and make sure that one or two persons do not
dominate the discussion. As a rule, the focus group session should not last longer
than 1 ½ hours to 2 hours. When very specific information is required, the session
may be as short as 40 minutes. The objective is to get high quality data in a social
context where people can consider their own views in the context of the views of
others, and, where new ideas and perspectives can be introduced.
The analysis of content is a central activity whenever one is concerned with the
nature of the verbal materials. A review of research in any area, for instance,
involves of the contents of research articles that have been published. The analysis
may be at a simple level, or, it may be a subtle one. It is at a simple level when we
pursue it on the basis of certain characteristics of the document, or, verbal materials
that can be identified and counted (such as on the basis of major scientific concepts
in a book). It is at a subtle level when researcher uncovers the attitude, say of the
press towards education by feature writers.
ii) Public records: are materials created and kept for the purpose of “attesting
to an event or providing an accounting”. Public records can be collected
from outside (external) or within (internal) the setting in which the evaluation
is taking place. Examples of external records are census and vital statistics
reports, county office records, newspaper archives, and local business records
that can assist an evaluator in gathering information about the larger
community and relevant trends. Such materials can be helpful in better
understanding the project participants and making comparisons between
groups/communities.
Source: John Boyce, Marketing Research, MacGraw Hill, Australia Pvt Ltd, 2005.
33
Data Collection and Analysis Check Your Progress2
Note: a) Write your answer in about 50 words.
b) Check your answer with possible answers given at the end of the unit
1) What do you mean by focus group?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
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Qualitative data are descriptive in nature and can be statistically analyzed only
after processing, and, after having them classified into some appropriate
categories. Qualitative data can facilitate in-depth analysis of a social situation.
2.6 KEYWORDS
Key Informant : A key informant is a person (or group of persons)
who has unique skills or professional background
related to the issue/intervention being evaluated, is
knowledgeable about the project participants, or has
access to other information of interest to the
evaluator.
34
Content analysis : Content analysis consists of analyzing the contents Qualitative Data Collection
Methods and Devices
of document, such as books, magazines, newspapers
and the contents of all other verbal materials v either
spoken or printed.
Goode W.J.and Hatt P.K. 1981. Methods in Social Research. McGraw- Hill Book
Company, Singapore.
Young P.V. 1996. Scientific Social Surveys and Research. Prentice –Hall of India
Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi.
35
Data Collection and Analysis 2) List the important assumptions of the case study method.
i) The assumption of uniformity in basic human nature, in spite of the fact
that human behaviour may vary according to situations.
ii) The assumption of studying the natural history of the unit concerned.
iii) The assumption of comprehensive study of the unit concerned.
Check Your Progress 2
1) Focus group combine elements of both interviewing and participant
observation capitalizing on group dynamics.
36
Qualitative Data Collection
UNIT 3 STATISTICAL TOOLS Methods and Devices
Structure
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Data: Meaning and Types
3.3 Variables and Tests
3.4 Measures of Central Tendency
3.5 Measures of Dispersion
3.6 Correlation and Regression
3.7 Hypothesis Testing and Inferential Statistics
3.8 Statistical Tests
3.9 Let Us Sum Up
3.10 Keywords
3.11 References and Selected Readings
3.12 Check Your Progress – Possible Answers
3.1 INTRODUCTION
Why a learner of urban planning and development needs to know about statistical
tests is simply because statistical tests will help him/her in analyzing data and
drawing up inferences about the data. Those who are middle as well as at the
decision making level need some understanding of statistical analysis to
understand the strengths and weaknesses of published data to take decisions on
whether to apply it in decision making. With the availability of several user
friendly software, use of statistical tests has now become a reality, even for non-
statisticians, provided they are computer literate and understand the basic
principles of statistical analysis. This unit will help you to acquire knowledge
about some basic statistical tools which you can use in data analysis.
After reading this unit you will be able to:
• define data, types of data and variables
• explain measures of central tendency
• calculate measures of dispersion, correlation and regression
• describe various inferential statistical tools.
The secondary data are gathered from personal or public documents. The
various sources of secondary data are books, journals, reports, letters and
diaries etc.
ii) Discrete Data and Continuous Data: Discrete data can take only a discrete
value, that can be divided into categories or group such as male and female,
white and black; boys and girls, etc.
On the other hand, the continuous data can take any value including decimal.
This is a type of data usually associated with some sort of physical
measurement. The height of trees in a nursery is an example of continuous
data.
ii) Statistical Test: Generally these are two types of tests applicable for
statistical interpretation of data for testing hypothesis and drawing inferences,
i.e. parametric test and non-parametric test. A parametric test is a test whose
model specifies certain conditions about the parameters of the parent
38
population from which the sample was drawn. On the other hand, non- Statistical Tools
parametric test is a test whose model does not specify conditions about the
parameters of the parent population from which sample was drawn.
In this session you read about data, variables and statistical tests, now answer the
questions given in Check Your Progress-1
3.4.1 Mean
Generally mean of a distribution is called as arithmetic mean. It is the average
value of the group. Mean is the sum of the scores divided by the number of
39
Data Collection and Analysis scores. It is defined as the point on the scale of measurement obtained by dividing
sum of all scores by the number of scores.
Mean is calculated from two types of data. (i) Ungrouped Data and (ii) Grouped
Data
ΣX
X=
N
X̄ = Mean
X = Individual score
N = Total number of scores
Ó = Indicates “sum of”
Example: The following marks 70, 30, 20, 90, 40 are secured by the 5 candidates
in a term end examination conducted by a Municipality School. Calculate Mean.
Calculation of Mean
Candidates Marks
A 70
B 30
C 20
D 90
E 40
N=5 Óx=250
Σx
Mean =
N
Mean = X̄ = 50
ii) Calculation of Mean from Grouped Data: The mean from grouped data
is calculated by applying following formula:
Σfx
Mean = X =
N
Ó = stands for “sum of”
f = Stands for frequency
X = Stand for the mid point of class intervals
N = Total number of cases
Calculate mean value of the following group data:
40
Calculation Mean Value Statistical Tools
At first you have to calculate the mid point of the class interval. The method of
calculating mid point is
UL - LL
Mid Point = LL +
2
LL = Lower Limit
UL = Upper Limit
34 - 30
The Mid Point = 30 + = 32
2
Mean =
405
= = 20.25
2
Let us know some of the important properties of mean.
i) The mean is used when a reliable and accurate measure of central tendency
is needed.
ii) The mean is used when scores are distributed symmetrically around the
central point.
41
Data Collection and Analysis Merits
i) It is easy to compute
ii) It is the best representative of the group.
iii) It is reliable.
Demerits
i) The value of mean depends on value of each item in the series.
ii) When scores are widely discrepant this measurement cannot be used.
iii) When scores are skewed mean can not be used.
3.4.2 Median
The median is a value that divides a distribution into two equal halves. The
median is useful when the data is in ordinal scale, i.e., some measurements are
much bigger or much smaller than the other measurement value. The mean of
such data will be biased toward these extreme values. Thus, the mean is not a
good measure of distribution, in this case. The median is not influenced by extreme
values. The median value, also called the central or halfway value, (50th percentile,
i.e., 50% value below median value, and 50% above it) is obtained in the following
way:
• List the observations in order of magnitude (from the lowest to the highest
value, or vice versa).
• Count the number of observations = n.
• The median value is the middle value, if n is odd {i.e., (n+1)/2} and the
mean of two middle values, if n is even {i.e., (n/2) and the next value}
Case: If there are 8 observations as given in Table below then what will be
median:
42
Statistical Tools
S.No. Weight of women (kg)
1 40
2 41
3 42
4 43
5 44
6 47
7 49
8 72
The median would be 43.5 kg {the average of ‘(n/2=8/2) 4th value i.e. 43’
and ‘next value, i.e., 44’}; the median in this case would be (43+44)/2 =
43.5 kg}.
Step3: Record all values of symbol variables from the table as given below:
L (=80) is the lower limit of the median interval,
F (=34) is the cumulative frequency of the class, preceding to median
class,
d (=20) is the width of class interval,
f (=19) is the frequency of median class.
43
Data Collection and Analysis Step4: Replace the symbol values with numeric values as noted in step3 in the
formula,
Uses
i) Median is the only average to be used while dealing with qualitative data
which cannot be measured quantitatively but still can be arranged in ascending
on descending order of magnitude, e.g. to find the average intelligence and
average honesty among a group of people.
3.4.3 MODE
Let us consider the following statements.
i) The average height of an Indian (male) is 5’6”.
ii) The average size of the shoes sold in a shop 7.
iii) An average student in a hostel spends Rs. 150 p.m.
In all above cases, the average referred to its mode.
Mode is the value which occurs most frequently in a set of observations and
around which the other items of the set, cluster densely. In other word, mode is
the value of the variable which is predominant in the series. According to AM
Tuttle “mode is the value which has the greatest frequency density in this
immediate neighborhood”. Thus in case of dissent frequency distribution mode
is the value of X corresponding to maximum frequency. Let us calculate mode
44 from the data given below.
X: 12 3 4 5 6 7 8 Statistical Tools
F: 49 16 25 22 15 7 3
The value corresponding to the maximum frequency, viz 25 is 4. Hence mode is 4
Let us calculate mode of a grouped data given in the table below:
Mode = L +
= 20 + 1.08 = 21.08
If the distribution is moderately asymmetrical, the mean, median and mode obey
the following empirical relationship:
Mode=3 Median – 2 Mean
Merits and Demerits of Mode
Merits:-
i) Mode is relatively comprehensible and easy to calculate.
ii) Mode is not at all affected by extreme values.
iii) Mode can be conveniently located even if the frequency distribution has
class intervals of unequal magnitude classes proceeding and succeeding it
are of the same magnitude.
45
Data Collection and Analysis Demerits:
i) Mode is ill defined. It is not always possible to find an early defined mode.
In some cases, we may come across distribution with two modes, such
distribution are called bimodal. If a distribution has more than two modes it
is said to be multimodal.
ii) It is not based upon all the observation.
iii) It is not capable of further mathematical treatment.
iv) As compared with mean, mode is affected to a greater extent by fluctuation
of sampling.
3.5.1 Range
It is the simplest measure of dispersion. This can be represented as the difference
between maximum and minimum values, or simply, as the maximum and
minimum values for all observations.
Example : If the weights of 7 women are as given in Table below, then what is
the range?
S.No. Weight of women (kg)
1 40
2 41
3 42
4 43
5 44
6 47
7 72
Although simple to calculate, the range does not tell us anything about the
distribution of the values between the two extreme ones.
46
3.5.2 Percentiles Statistical Tools
i) Ungrouped Data- The formula used for calculation y mean deviation is:
Ó|x|
|X -X|
å in A.D. = ———
N
47
Data Collection and Analysis Ó|x| 150
Mean = ——— = —— = 30
N 5
Ó|x| 60
A.D. = ——— = —— = 12
N 5
Thus A.D. = 12
Σ(X - M )
2
S.D. =
N
Σd 2
=
N
ó =
Where,
Ó = sum total
d = deviation (score-mean)
N = total number of cases
ó =
Score Deviation d d²
(X) d(X-M)
8 8-12 -4 16
9 9-12 -3 9
10 10-12 -2 4
11 11-12 -1 1
12 12-12 0 0
13 13-12 1 1
14 14-12 2 4
19 19-12 7 49
Ó x=96 Ód²|=84
Mean = =8
Σd 2 84
S.D. = = = 7 = 2.64
N 12
Σd 2
ó =
N
Where,
Ó = sum total
f = frequency
d² = Square of deviation
N = total number of frequencies
Table: Calculation of Standard Deviation from Grouped Data
Class Interval (C.I) Frequency (f)
10-14 2
15-19 3
20-24 4
25-29 5
30-34 6
N=20
49
Data Collection and Analysis Computation of S.D. is given below.
C.I. f X fx X-M d d² fd²
10-14 2 12 24 12-20.5 -8.5 72.25 144.50
15-19 8 17 136 17-20.5 -3.5 12.25 98.00
20-24 6 22 132 22-20.5 1.5 2.25 13.50
25-29 2 27 54 27-20.5 6.5 42.25 84.50
30-34 2 32 64 32-20.5 11.5 132.25 264.50
N=20 Óf x=410 Ófd²=605.00
Mean =
410
= —— = 20.5
20
S.D. =
605.00
= = 30.25
20
= 5.5
s
C.V.= 100 ×
X
According to profession Karl Pearson who suggested this measure, C.V.is the
percentage variation in the mean, standard deviation being considered as then
total variation in the mean.
In this session you read about measures of central tendency and measures of
dispersion, now answer the questions given in Check Your Progress-2
50
Check Your Progress 2 Statistical Tools
51
Data Collection and Analysis
If we are interested only in measuring the association between the two variables,
then Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient (r) gives us an estimate of the strength
of the linear association between two numerical variables. Pearson’s Correlation
Coefficient can either be calculated by hand or the value of r can be obtained
using either a calculator with built in capability to do the calculation or a variety
of computer software programs. Note that in case there is curvilinear relationship,
the value of r will be shown to be zero. The correlation coefficient has the
following properties:
1) For any data set, r lies between ‘-1’ and ‘+1’.
2) If r = +1, or -1, the linear relationship is perfect, that is, all the points lie
exactly on a straight line. If most of the points lie on the line, then it is very
strong relationship and r is near to 1. If r = +1, variable y increases as x
increases (i.e., the line slopes upwards). (See Diagram A.) If r = -1, variable
y decreases as x increases (i.e., the line slopes downward). (See Diagram B.)
3) If r lies between 0 and +1, the regression line slopes upwards, but the points
are scattered about the line. (See Diagram C.) The same is true of negative
values of r, between 0 and -1, but in this case the regression line slopes
downward. (See Diagram D.)
4) If r = 0, there is very low linear relationship between y and x. This may mean
that there is no relationship at all between the two variables (i.e., knowing x
Σxy
Σxy tells us nothing about the value of y). (See Diagram E.).
Σx1S2Σ2 y 2
NS
Calculation of the Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient
Formula for calculation of Karl Pearson’s correlation co-efficient is:
r= =
Σxy
= N Σx Σy 2
2
N N
r = correlation coefficient
x = deviation from x̄ (Arithmetic mean) of the first set of variables
y = deviation from ȳ (Arithmetic mean) of the second set of variable
Ó = sign of summation
S1 = standard deviation of the first set of variables
S2 = standard deviation of the second set of variables
N = number of items in each set of variables
53
Data Collection and Analysis Example: Calculation the correlation coefficient between the following scores
of history and mathematics.
375
=65 Y= =75
5
Σxy 62
Coefficient of Correlation (r) = =
Σx Σy2 2
222 ´ 352
62 62
= = +0.22
78144 280
In order to estimate the best average values of the two variables, two regression
equations are required and they are used separately. One equation is used for
estimating the value of the first variable (X), this is called “Regression Coefficient
of X on Y” or “Regression Equation of X on Y” and the second equation is used
54
for estimating the value of the second variable (Y) for a given value of the first Statistical Tools
variable called “Regression Coefficient of Y on X” and “Regression Equation of
X on Y”.
Sx
1) Regression Coefficient of X on Y is bxy = r S
y
X – X̄ = r (Y – Ȳ )
Y – Ȳ = r (X – X̄ )
S xy X = Value of X
S xy Y = Value of Y
X̄ = Arithmetic Mean of X series
Ȳ = Arithmetic Mean of Y series
Sx = Standard Deviation of X series
Sy = Standard Deviation of Y series
r = Correlation coefficient between X and Y
Example: obtain lines of regression for the following data:
Computation of Regression Equation
X̄ (X̄– 5) Y (Y-12)
x x² y y² xy
1 –4 16 9 –3 9 12
2 –3 9 8 –4 16 12
3 –2 4 10 –2 4 4
4 –1 1 12 0 0 0
5 0 0 11 –1 1 0
6 +1 1 13 +1 1 1
7 +2 4 14 +2 4 4
55
Data Collection and Analysis
8 +3 9 16 +4 16 12
9 +4 16 15 +3 9 12
ÓX̄= 45 Óx=0 Óx²=60 ÓY=108 Óy=0 Óy²=60 Óxy=57
9 ´ 57 - 0 ´ 0 9 ´ 57 19
= = = = 0.95
9 ´ 60 - 0 2 9 ´ 60 20
= = 0.95
X–X̄ = r (Y – Ȳ) is
Y – Ȳ= r (X̄ – X̄ ) is
In this session you read about correlation and regression, now answer the questions
given in Check Your Progress-3
In order to help you choose the right test, a flowchart and matrices will be
presented for different sets of data. We will discuss how significance tests work.
Please keep in mind that independent groups are treated as independent
populations.
Type I error (á): We reject the null hypothesis when it is true, or false
positive error, or type I error ‘á’ (called alpha). It is the error in detecting
true effect.
In the above example, type I error would mean that the effects of two drugs
were found to be different by statistical analysis, when, in fact, there was no
difference between them.
Type II error (â): We accept the null hypothesis when it is false or false
negative error; or simply, type II error ‘â’ (called beta) can be stated as failure
to detect true effect. In the above example, type II error would mean that the
effects of two drugs were not found different by statistical analysis, when in
fact there was difference.
The definition can be summarized as given below.
Actual Situation
True Ho False Ho
Investigator’s Accept Null Correct Error (Type II)
Decision hypothesis Acceptance
Reject Null Error (Type I) Correct Rejection
hypothesis
Note: Alpha (á) and beta (â) are the Greek letters and are used to denote
probabilities for type I error and type II error respectively.
We would like to carry our test, i.e., choose our critical region so as to minimize
both types of errors simultaneously, but this not possible in a given fixed sample
size. In fact decreasing one type of error may very likely increase the other type.
In practice, we keep type I error (á) fixed at a specified value (i.e., at 1% or 5%).
59
Data Collection and Analysis
3.8 STATISTICAL TESTS
Depending on the aim of your study and the type of data collected, you have to
choose appropriate tests of significance. Before applying any statistical test, state
the null hypothesis in relation to the data to which the test is being applied. This
will enable you to interpret the results of the test. The following sections will
explain how you will choose an appropriate statistical test to determine differences
between groups or associations between variables. Although there are many
statistical tests used in drawing inferences, here we will confine our discussion
to four main types of tests:
i) ÷2 test
ii) T-test
iii) Z- test
iv) F-test
χ 2)
3.8.1 Chi-Square Test (χ
Chi-square test is termed as a non parametric test. Karl Pearson first introduced
the concept of chi-square and its application in testing statistical hypothesis. The
value of chi-square is determined by (i) taking the difference between each
observed frequency (fo) and the corresponding expected theoretical frequency
(fe) (ii) squaring each difference (iii) dividing each squared difference by the
corresponding expected theoretical frequency and then (iv) adding all the quotient.
The value of chi-square is represented by the symbol χ2
Thus χ2 =
c2 = å ê( 0 e ) ú
é f -f ù
êë f e úû
χ² = Chi-Square
Fo = Observed frequency
F2 = Expected frequency
Ó = Sum total
60
Example: Compute the chi-square of data given in table below: Statistical Tools
3.8.2 T -Test
A t-Test is a statistical hypothesis test. The T-Statistic was introduced by W.S.
Gossett under the pen name “student”. Therefore, the T-test is also known as the
“student T-test”. The T-test is a commonly used statistical analysis for testing
hypothesis, since it is straight forward and easy to use. Additionally, it is flexible
and adoptable to a broad range of circumstances. The T-test is applied, if you
have a limited sample, usually sample size is less than 30.
61
Data Collection and Analysis The formula used for the calculation of T-test is:
d
(
t = S X1 - X 2
)
Where,
t = t-test
d̄ = mean difference
S = standard deviation
X̄ 1 = Mean of first set of variables
X̄ 2 = Mean of second set of variables
Σd
Calculation of d =
N
Σd 2 (Σd )
2
S= -
n - 1 n(n - 1)
Example: An IQ test was administered to 5 person before and after they were
trained. The result are given below.
Candidates I II III IV V
IQ before Training 110 120 123 132 125
IQ after Training 120 118 125 136 121
Test whether there is any change in IQ after training programme
=
62
Statistical Tools
=2
d 2
(
t= = = 0.816
s X1 - X 2 ) 2.45
Where
x1 = mean of the first variable
x¯2 = Mean of the Second variable
S1= Standard deviation first equation
S2= Standard deviation second equation
n1= Standard size of first
n2= Standard size of Second
63
Data Collection and Analysis Example: The score in mathematics for boys and girls is given in table below,
calculate whether there is significant difference in score between them.
X̄ 1 = 31.19
X̄ 2 = 29.56
S1 = 10.13
S2 = 9.56
S12 = 102.802
= 85.67
Z=
1.62
= = 0.67
2.42
Interpretation: The tabled value of z is 1.96. Since Z < - 1.96 (0.67<1.96), we
reject H0. It means that these is no significant difference between scores of boys
and girls.
3.8.4 F -Test
The F-test was first developed by R.A. Fisher. Hence it is known as fisher’s test
on more commonly as F test. The f-test is used either for testing the hypothesis
64
about the equality of two population variances of the equality of two or more Statistical Tools
population means. The ratio of two sample variances.
F=
Where,
Example
The time taken by workers in performing a job by method I and method II is
given below.
Method I 20 16 23 27 23 22
Method II 27 33 42 35 32 34 38
Do the data show that the variances of time distribution in a population from
which these samples are drawn do not differ significantly
Solution
Computation of Variances
Ss11222 ïìΣ2dïü22 ìï Σd üï
82
2
Method-I Method-II
S122 -= í ý1 - í 1 ý
s62 îï 2n1þï îï n1Xþï X1–22=d1 d1² X2 X2-34=d2 d1²
1
20 –2 4 27 –7 49
16 –6 36 33 –1 1
26 4 16 42 8 64
27 5 25 35 1 1
23 1 1 32 –2 4
22 0 0 34 0 0
Ód1= +2 Ó d1²=82 38 4 16
Ód2=3 Ó d1²=135
Method-I
= 13.55
Variance = 13.55
65
Data Collection and Analysis Method-II
Varience
The results we obtain by subjecting our data to analysis may actually be true or
may be due to chance or sampling variation. In order to rule out chance as an
explanation, we use the test of significance. In this unit we have confined our
discussion to four tests i.e. ÷2 test, Z- test, t-test and f-test.
Correlation is relationship between the two sets of continuous data; for example
relationship between height and body weight. Correlation statistics is used to
determine the extent to which two independent variables are related and can be
expressed by a measure called the coefficient of correlation. Regression, on the
other hand, deals with the cause and effect relation between two sets of data.
Simple linear regression fits a straight line through the set of n points in such a
way that makes the sum of squared residuals of the model (that is, vertical
distances between the points of the data set and the fitted line) as small as possible.
The regression line, thus, obtained helps us to predict the value of dependent
variable for a given value of independent variable.
67
Data Collection and Analysis Annex I: Table of chi-square values
Degrees of freedom χ 2 value if χ 2 value if
α = 0.05 α = 0.01
1 3.84 6.63
2 5.99 9.21
3 7.81 11.34
4 9.49 13.28
5 11.07 15.09
6 12.59 16.81
7 14.07 18.48
8 15.51 20.09
9 16.92 21.67
10 18.31 23.21
11 19.68 24.72
12 21.03 26.22
Annexure-II
Degrees of freedom t-value if t-value if
chosen P Chosen P
α = 0.05 α = 0.01
1 12.71 63.66
2 4.30 9.92
3 3.18 5.84
4 2.78 4.60
5 2.57 4.03
6 2.45 3.71
7 2.36 3.50
8 2.31 3.36
9 2.26 3.25
10 2.23 3.17
11 2.20 3.11
12 2.18 3.05
13 2.16 3.01
14 2.14 2.98
15 2.13 2.95
16 2.12 2.92
17 2.11 2.90
68
Statistical Tools
18 2.10 2.88
19 2.09 2.86
20 2.09 2.85
21 2.08 2.83
22 2.07 2.82
23 2.07 2.81
24 2.06 2.80
25 2.06 2.79
30 2.04 2.76
40 2.02 2.70
60 2.00 2.66
120 1.98 2.62
infintie 1.96 2.58.
3.10 KEYWORDS
Independent variable : The characteristic being observed or measured
which is hypothesized to influence an event or
outcome (dependent variable), and is not influenced
by the event or outcome, but may cause it, or
contribute to its variation.
Dependent variable : A variable whose value is dependent on the effect
of other variables (independent variables) in the
relationship being studied.
Mean : The mean (or, arithmetic mean) is also known as
the average. It is calculated by totalling the results
of all the observations and dividing by the total
number of observations.
Median : The median is the value that divides a distribution
into two equal halves. The median is useful when
some measurements are in ordinal scale, i.e., much
bigger or much smaller than the rest.
Mode : The mode is the most frequently occurring value in
a set of observations. The mode is not very useful
for numerical data that are continuous. It is most
useful for numerical data that have been grouped.
The mode is usually used to find the norm among
populations.
Range : This can be represented as the difference between
maximum and minimum value or, simply, as
maximum and minimum values.
69
Data Collection and Analysis Percentiles : Percentiles are points that divide all the
measurements into 100 equal parts. The 30 th
percentile (P3) is the value below which 30% of
the measurements lie. The 50th percentile (P50), or
the median, is the value below which 50% of the
measurements lie.
Mean Deviation : This is the average of deviation from arithmetic mean
Standard Deviation : This denotes (approximately) the extent of variation
of values from the mean.
Parametric statistical test: Is a test whose model specifies certain conditions
about the parameters of the parent population from
which the sample was drawn.
Non-parametric : Is a test whose model does not specify conditions
statistical test about the parameters of the parent population from
which sample was drawn.
Normal Distribution : The normal distribution is symmetrical around the
mean. The mean, median, and mode assume the
same value if observations (data) follows a normal
distribution.
Sampling Variation : Any value of a variable obtained from the randomly
selected sample (e.g., a sample mean) cannot assume
the true value in the population. The variation is
called a sampling variation.
Test of Significance : A test of significance estimates the likelihood that
an observed study result (e.g., a difference between
two groups) is due to chance or real.
71
Data Collection and Analysis Check Your Progress 3
1) Differences between Correlation and Regresion
The main difference between correlation and regression is that the correlation
quantifies the degree to which two variables are related. You simply are
computing a correlation coefficient (r) that tells you how much one variable
tends to change when the other one does. While regression finds out the best
fit line for a given set of variables.
Check Your Progress 4
1) What is t-test and where it is applied?
A t-Test is a statistical hypothesis test. The T-Statistic was introduced by
W.S. Gossett under the pen name “student”. Therefore, The T-test is also
known as the “student T-test”. The T-test is a commonly used statistical
analysis for testing hypothesis, since it is straight forward and easy to use.
Additionally, it is flexible and adoptable to a broad range of circumstances.
The T-test is applied, if you have a limited sample, usually sample size is
less than 30.
2) What is Chi-squre?
Chi-square test is termed as a non parametric test. Karl Pearson first
introduced the concept of chi-square and its application in testing statistical
hypothesis. The value of chi-square is determined by (i) taking the difference
between each observed frequency (fo) and the corresponding expected
theoretical frequency (fe) (ii) squaring each difference (iii) dividing each
squared difference by the corresponding expected theoretical frequency and
then (iv) adding all the quotient . The value of chi-square is represented by
the symbol χ².
72
Statistical Tools
UNIT 4 DATA PROCESSING AND ANALYSIS
Structure
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Data Measurement and its Types
4.3 Tabulation and Interpretation of Data
4.4 Let Us Sum Up
4.5 Keywords
4.6 References and Selected Readings
4.7 Check Your Progress – Possible Answers
4.1 INTRODUCTION
The purpose of data analysis is to identify whether research assumptions were
correct or not, and to highlight possible new views on the problem under study.
The ultimate purpose of analysis is to answer the research questions outlined in
the objectives with the collected data. However, before we look at how variables
may be affecting one another, we need to summarize the information obtained
on each variable in simple, tabular form, or, in a figure.
Some of the variables may produce numerical (continuous) data, while other
variables produce categorical data. In analyzing our data, it is important, first, to
determine the type of data that we are dealing with. This is crucial because the
type of data used largely determines the type of statistical techniques that should
be used to analyze the data. Once the data is processed, tables and graphs are
prepared, and the report writing work may be initiated.
Secondary Data
Secondary data are data that have been collected for another purpose and
where we will use a statistical method with the primary data. This means
that after performing statistical operations on primary data the results become
known as secondary data. Research where one gathers this kind of data is
referred to as desk research. The source for gathering secondary data, for
example data from a book.
Time series data is also known as longitudinal data, which follows one
subject’s changes over the course of time. For example, the average
production of wheat from 1990 to 2009.
Panel data combines both cross sectional and time series data and looks at
multiple subjects and how they change over the course of time. Panel analysis
uses panel data to examine changes in variables over time, and differences
in variables between subjects.
Continuous or Numerical: Data that can take any value, including decimal
values, are called continuous data. Data that can be measured on a scale is
said to be scalar. We speak of numerical data if they are expressed in numbers.
There are two types of numerical data: they are discrete or continuous.
Discrete data are a distinct series of numbers.
In this section, you studied about the data measurement and its types. Now answer
the following questions.
Master Chart
Sl. Name of the Variables
No respondent Sex Age Marital Status Education Occupation
1
2
3
4
5
Total
77
Data Collection and Analysis In the master chart you can enter the data of 14 sample respondents. Likewise
you can expand the number of respondents in the column and variables in
the rows. It is always better to enter code (numerical number) in the master
chart.
78
4.3.2 Data Tabulation Data Processing and
Analysis
Tabulation is an orderly and systematic arrangement of numerical data presented
in rows and columns for the purpose of information, comparison, and
interpretation. So, a statistical table is a systematic arrangement of statistical
data into rows and columns. It summarizes the data in a logical and orderly
manner for the purpose of presentation, comparison, and interpretation. Tabulation
is, thus, a scientific process and means of recording, statistical data in a systematic
and orderly manner.
A statistical table has the following five parts.
i) Title: each table must have a title which convey the contents of the table. It
should be clear, concise and self-explanatory. It should be written on the top
of the table.
ii) Stub: this is a column used for mentioning the items and their heading. It is
the left most column of the table. A stub is generally marked with rows and
in each row, an item is mentioned. The stub should be clear and self-
explanatory.
iii) Caption: this is the heading for columns, other than the stub. It is the upper
part of the Table. Caption should be properly columned and worded.
Sometimes, below the caption, the units of measurement and column-
numbers, is called a box head.
iv) Body: the main part of the table. It contains the data which are exhibited in
the table. The figures inserted therein should be distinct.
v) Source & Footnote: the last part of a table. If the researcher is procuring
data from a secondary source, then the source of the data needs to be
mentioned. For example, if you are citing data from the Census of India then
the year and the department and the state need to be mentioned. After
mentioning the sources, the researcher has to provide a footnote, e.g., in the
same cell, if you are giving the figure, and in parenthesis, the percentage to
the total, and then, it must be mentioned in the footnote. An example of a
table is given below:
Title
Caption
Source:
Footnote:
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Data Collection and Analysis 4.3.3 Types of Tabulation
Tabulation is done based on the data. The following types of tables are generally
constructed.
i) Construction of frequency distribution table
ii) Construction of cross- tabulation
iii) Construction of figures and graph
While preparing the group frequency distributions, the following points have to
be taken into consideration.
The groups must not overlap, otherwise there will be confusion about which
group a measurement belongs to.
There must be continuity from one group to the next, which means that
there must be no gaps. Otherwise, some measurements may not fit in a group.
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The groups must range from the lowest measurement to the highest Data Processing and
Analysis
measurement so that all of the measurements have a group to which they can
be assigned.
Example 1: A study was carried out on the degree of job satisfaction among
doctors and nurses in rural and urban areas. To describe the sample, a cross
tabulation was constructed which included the sex and the residence (rural,
or urban) of the doctors and nurses interviewed. This was useful, because in
the analysis, the opinions of male and female staff had to be compared
separately for rural and urban areas.
Interpretation: It can be concluded from Table 4.4 that there are more males
serving in rural areas than females. These males in rural areas are apparently
teachers.
To obtain an overview of the distribution of principals and teachers by gender in
rural and urban areas, we can construct the following two-by-four cross-table.
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Data Collection and Analysis Table 4.5: Residence and sex of principals and teachers
Teaching staff Residence Total
Rural Urban
Principals Males 8 (10%) 35 (21%) 43 (18%)
Females 2 (3%) 16 (10%) 18 (7%)
Teachers Males 46 (58%) 36 (22%) 82 (34%)
Females 23 (29%) 77 (47%) 100 (41%)
Total 79(100%) 164 (100%) 243(100%)
Interpretation: This table shows, in a glance, that male nurses dominate the
rural health services. It also indicates that males dominate in the medical
profession, (18% M > 7% F doctors) but, that, overall, there are more female
than male nurses, and that the females are mainly clustered in towns.
The data in the tables is usually listed in absolute figures, as well as in relative
frequencies (percentages or proportions). As already seen in Unit 3, for numerical
data (such as age) the mean, median, and/or mode, with standard deviation may
be calculated as well, to describe the sample.
1) Bar Chart
The data from Example 2 can be presented in a bar chart, using either absolute
frequencies or relative frequencies/percentages and an example is given in
Figure 4.1 below.
50
45
Percentage of clinicals
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Never Rarely occasionally frequently
Note that the sample size must be indicated if you present the data in
percentages.
2) Pie Charts
A pie chart can be used for the same set of data, providing the reader with a
quick overview of the data presented in a different form. A pie chart illustrates
the relative frequency of a number of items. All the segments of the pie chart
should add up to 100%.
Figure 4.3: Percentage of clinics treating different numbers of malaria patients in one
month (n=80).
4) Line Graphs
A line graph is particularly useful for numerical data if you wish to show a
trend over time. An example of a line graph is given in Figure 4.4 .
Figure 4.4: Daily number of malaria patients at the health centres in District X
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5) Scatter diagrams Data Processing and
Analysis
Scatter diagrams are useful for showing information on two variables which
are possibly related. The example of a scatter diagram, given below, is used
where we are dealing with the concepts of association and correlation.
Note: It is important that all figures presented in your research report have
numbers, clear titles, and are clearly labelled (or keyed).
6) Maps
In addition to the figures above, the use of maps may be considered to present
information. For instance, the area, where a study was carried out, can be
shown in a map. If the study explored the epidemiology of cholera, a map
could be produced showing the geographical distribution of cholera cases,
together with the distribution of protected water sources, thus illustrating
that there is an association. If the study related to vaccination coverage, a
map could be developed to indicate the clinic sites and the vaccination
coverage among under-fives in each village, perhaps showing that home-
clinic distance is an important factor associated with vaccination status.
In this section, we discussed about the tabulation and interpretation of data. Now
answer the following questions.
4.5 KEYWORDS
Data Measurement : Measurement is the process of observing and
recording the observations that are collected as
part of a research effort.
Type of Data : Broadly there are two types of data: (i) quantitative
and; (ii) qualitative which can be further classified
as categorical, nominal and continuous data.
Data Quality : The quality data can be characterized as: (i)
precise, (ii) unambiguous, (iii) free from errors,
(iv) valid, (v) reliable, and (vi) practical.
Data Processing : Means the generation of frequency distribution and
cross tabulation and calculation of other statistical
measures.
Frequency Distribution : Preparation of tables which distribute respondents
according to a particular characteristic of sample,
or research outcome.
Cross Tabulation : This is a process of generating tables giving the
outcome of interest in columns, and various
characteristics of respondents, or factors affecting
outcomes in rows.
Data Interpretation : Is drawing valid and meaningful conclusions from
the tables generated with the help of collected data.
Report Preparation : Is the process of documenting the whole process
of research conducted to identify the problem, or
to prove some relationships, or for proving the
success of some programme related activities.
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Data Processing and
4.6 REFERENCES AND SELECTED READINGS Analysis
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Data Collection and Analysis
UNIT 5 REPORT WRITING
Structure
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Types of Report
5.3 Writing the Research Report
5.4 The Preliminary Pages of Research Report
5.5 Main Components or Chaptering of Research Report
5.6 Style and Layout of the Report
5.7 Common Weaknesses in Report Writing and Finalizing the Text
5.8 Let Us Sum Up
5.9 References and Selected Readings
5.10 Check Your Progress – Possible Answers
5.1 INTRODUCTION
A research report is considered a major component of any research study as the
research remains incomplete till the report has been presented or written. No
matter how good a research study, and how meticulously the research study has
been conducted, the findings of the research are of little value unless they are
effectively documented and communicated to others. The research results must
invariably enter the general store of knowledge. Writing a report is the last step
in a research study and requires a set of skills somewhat different from those
called for in actually conducting a research.
After reading this unit you will be able to:
• follow the various steps involved in writing a research report.
• explain the various components of a research report
• identify common mistakes committed while writing a research report.
The news items found in newspapers are also a form of report writing. Other
examples of reports include book reviews, reports prepared by government
bureaus, PhD theses, etc. Any research investigation may be presented in like a
technical report, a popular report, an article, a monograph, or, at times, even in
the form of an oral presentation. The technical report is prepared for specialists
who have interest in understanding the technical procedure and terminology used
in the research project. The report will be in technical language. In the technical
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report, the main emphasis is on: (i) the methods employed; (ii) assumptions Report Writing
made in the course of study and; (iii) the detailed presentation of the findings,
including their limitations and supporting data.
Popular data is intended for persons who have limited interest in the technical
aspects of the research methodology and research findings. The audience will
include laymen and even top executives who want summary reports. The popular
report is one which gives emphasis on simplicity and attractiveness. The
simplification should be sought through clear writing, minimizing of technical,
particularly mathematical details, and liberal use of charts and diagrams. Attractive
layouts along with large print and many subheadings is another feature of a popular
report. In such a report, emphasis is given on practical aspects and policy
implications.
Before you start writing, it is essential to group and review the data you have
analysed by objective. Check whether all data has indeed been processed and
analysed as you planned in the research protocol/proposal which is duly approved.
Draw major conclusions and relate these to the research literature. Again, you
may be inspired to go back to your raw data and refine your analysis, or to search
for additional literature to answer questions that the analysis of your data may
evoke. Compile the major conclusions and tables or quotes from qualitative data
related to each specific objective. You are now ready to draft the report.
The research report will have, broadly, three parts.
Part I : The Preliminary Pages
Part II : The Main Text of the Research Report
Part III : The End Matter
ii) Foreword
A foreword is usually a short piece of writing found at the beginning of a
book or other piece of literature, before the introduction. This may or may
not be written by the primary author of the work. Often, a foreword will tell
of some interaction between the writer of the foreword and the story, or, the
writer of the story. A foreword to later editions of a work often explains how
the new edition differs from previous ones. Unlike a preface, a foreword is
always signed. An example of a foreword is given in the box below.
Foreword
Migration of all kinds, particularly income seeking migration across state
boundaries, has attracted much attention in recent scholarly and policy
literature. This study provides sufficient evidences of the effect of labour
migration, more specifically, male outmigration on the rural economy of
the Indo-Gangetic region. The number of districts of high and moderately
high male outmigration has increased. The findings reveal the holistic
scenario of migration led changes in agricultural and household domains.
I am sure that this volume would be of great interest to researchers, policy
makers, and development agencies while framing strategies for agricultural
and rural development.
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iii) Preface Report Writing
Preface
The present study was conducted in three states of Bihar, Uttar Pradesh,
and Punjab to study various aspects of labour migration, and its impact on
rural economy in the Indo-Gangetic plains in India. The study focused on
labour outmigration across two states of the Indo-Gangetic Region and in-
migration in Punjab. The results of this study would help researchers, policy
makers and planners as well as development agencies in addressing various
issues of labour migration and its implication in India.
iv) Acknowledgements
It is good practice to thank those who supported you technically or financially
in the design and implementation of your study. You should not forget to
thank your research guide and your employer, too, who has allowed you to
invest time in the study; and, the respondents may be acknowledged. You
should not forget to acknowledge the contribution of computer professionals,
library staff, local officials, and the community at large that provided the
information. Acknowledgements are usually placed right after the title page
or at the end of the report, before the references. An example of
acknowledgement is given in the box below.
Acknowledgements
I take this opportunity to thank the Indian Council of Agricultural Research
for providing funds and facilities for the project. I offer my sincere thanks
to the Director, Indian Agricultural Research Institute for his encouragement
and support for pursuing this study. I am also grateful to the head, Division
of Agricultural Economics, IARI for providing all needed support,
encouragement, and technical guidance. All the Research Associates, Senior
Research Fellows and technical assistants working under the project deserve
special appreciation for their hard work and sincere efforts in completing
this project.
v) Table of Contents
A table of contents is essential. It provides the reader a quick overview of
the chapters with major sections and sub sections of your report, and page
references, so that the reader can go through the report in a different order,
or skip certain sections. The sections and sub sections within each chapter
may be given numbers that are specific to the chapter. For example, a section
in chapter III may be given no as 3.1; and, a sub section as 3.1.1. An example
of a table of contents is given below.
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Data Collection and Analysis Contents
S. No. Contents Pages
1 Introduction
2 Review of Literature
3 Methodology
3.1 Data
3.2 Analytical Tools
3.3 Profile of Area Under Study
4 Research Findings
4.1 Macro Level Evidences
4.2 Evidences from filed Survey
5 Discussion
6 Conclusions and Policy Implications
7 References
Appendix
List of Tables
S. No. Name of the Table Pages
2.1 Sampling Pattern of Households in the Study Area
3.1 Migrants by Last Residence in India
3.2 Total Inter-State Migrants by Place of Birth in Major States
3.3 Social Characteristics of Households in the Study Area
. .
. .
. .
x) List of Abbreviations
List of Abbreviations
AI : Agreement Index
CMIE : Centre for Monitoring of Indian Economy
CV : Coefficient of Variation
DEA : Data Envelopment Analysis
As you may have collaborated with various groups during the drafting and
implementation of your research proposal, you may consider writing
different summaries for each of these groups. For example, you may
prepare different summaries for policymakers and programme managers,
for implementing staff of lower levels, for community members, or for the
public at large (newspaper, TV). In a later stage, you may write articles in
scientific journals.
In this section, we discussed about the types of report and the contents to
be included in the preliminary pages of research report. Now answer the
following questions.
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Data Collection and Analysis Check Your Progress 1
Note: a) Write your answer in about 50 words.
b) Check your answer with possible answers given at the end of the unit
1) What should be included on the cover page of a research report?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
2) What is the importance of writing an acknowledgement in a research report
and where should it be placed?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
The general and specific objectives should also be included in this chapter. If
necessary, you can adjust them slightly for style and sequence. However, you
should not change their basic nature. If you have not been able to meet some of
the objectives of the project, this should be stated in the methodology section,
and in the discussion of the findings. The objectives form the heart of your study.
They determined the methodology you chose and will determine how you structure
the reporting of your findings.
Review of Literature
Singh (2008) conducted a study on labour out-migration from the Indo-
Gangetic plains of India. The study provides sufficient evidence of the
effect of male out-migration on the rural economy of the Indo-Gangetic
plains of India. Male out-migration has resulted in gender role reversal in
terms of decision making on important household and farm issues. Besides,
the women of the migrant households had to take up many male specific
activities, like land preparation, seed selection, broadcasting, irrigation,
and herbicide application. The study also proved that the crop returns of
non-migrant households were significantly higher than that of migrant
households in case of both rice and wheat cultivation. The technical,
allocative and economic efficiencies of non-migrant households was much
higher that the migrant households in both rice and wheat cultivation.
Methodology
Data Collection/Sample
A micro level study based on primary cross section data was designed to
attain the objectives of this project. The survey was conducted in three states;
Bihar, Uttar Pradesh and Punjab. A systematic interview schedule was used
to collect information on various aspects of labour migration and its impact
on rural economy of Indo-Gangetic Plains of India. The data was collected
for 200 families with migration and 200 families without migrating members.
Analytical tools
Various statistical tools were used in the analysis of data. Those are mean,
standard deviation, correlation, t-test, and regression.
At this stage you might as well prepare an outline for the whole report, taking
the main components of a research report as a point of departure.
An outline should contain
• the headings of the main sections of the report
• the headings of subsections
• the points to be made in each section
• the list of tables, figures and/or quotes to illustrate each section.
The outline for the chapter on findings will predictably be the most elaborate.
The first section under findings is usually a description of the study/ target
population. When different study populations have been studied, you should
provide a short description of each group before you present the data pertaining
to these informants.
Then, depending on the study design, you may provide more information on the
problem you studied (size, distribution, characteristics). Thereafter, in an analytic
study, the degree to which different independent variables influence the problem
will be discussed.
For better understanding, an example of how the research findings are tabulated
and presented in the form of findings is given in the following table. An analysis
of table 5.1 is given in the box below.
Tables and Figures in the text should be numbered and have clear titles. It is
advisable to first use the number of the section to which the table belongs. In the
final draft you may decide to number tables and figures in sequence. It is
appreciated in case some pictures from the field are also appropriately presented
to give visual presentation of the field information.
Include only those tables and figures that present main findings and need more
elaborate discussion in the text. Others may be put in annexes, or, if they don’t
reveal interesting points, be omitted.
If your recommendations are short (roughly one page), you might include them
all in your summary and omit them as a separate section in Chapter 6 in order to
avoid repetition.
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Data Collection and Analysis For magazines and newspapers the order may be as follows.
1) Name of the author, last name first.
2) Title of the article, in quotation marks.
3) Name of the periodical, underlined to indicate italics.
4) The volume and number.
5) The date of the issue.
6) The pagination.
Example
Robert V. Roosa, “Coping with Short-term International Money Flows”, The
Banker, London, September, 1971, p.995.
5.5.8 Annexure
The annexes should contain any additional information needed to enable
professionals to follow your research procedures and data analysis.
• in case of sensitive findings, one should think not to clearly mention name
of village/ location, etc.
• quantify when you have the data to do so; avoid ‘large’, ‘small’- instead, say
‘50%’, ‘one in three’
• the percentage 45.8 in table may be presented in the text as about 46% and
45.3% may be presented as approximately 45%
• be precise and specific in your phrasing of findings
• inform, not impress - avoid exaggeration
• use short sentences
• use adverbs and adjectives infrequently
• be consistent in the use of past and present tenses
• avoid the passive voice, if possible, as it creates vagueness (e.g., ‘patients
were interviewed’ leaves uncertainty as to who interviewed them) and
repeated use makes dull reading
• aim to be logical and systematic in your presentation.
The original authors of each section may prepare a second draft, taking into
consideration all comments that have been made. However, you might consider
the appointment of two editors amongst yourselves, to draft the complete version.
The help from proof readers may also be taken to remove minor mistakes from
the draft.
It is advisable to have one of the other groups and facilitators read the second
draft and judge it on the points mentioned in the previous section. Then a final
version of the report should be prepared. This time you should give extra care to
the presentation and layout: structure, style and consistency of spelling (use spell
check!).
Use verb tenses consistently. Descriptions of the field situation may be stated in
the past tense (e.g., ‘Five households owned less than one acre of land.’).
Conclusions drawn from the data are usually in the present tense (e.g., ‘Food
taboos hardly have any impact on the nutritional status of young children.)
Note: For a final check on readability you might skim through the pages and
read the first sentences of each paragraph. If this gives you a clear impression
of the organisation and results of your study, you may conclude that you did
the best you could.
iii) Sometimes qualitative data (e.g., open opinion questions) are just coded
and counted like quantitative data, without interpretation, whereas they
may provide interesting illustrations of reasons for the behaviour of
informants or of their attitudes. This is serious maltreatment of data that
needs correction.
In these sections you have read about the main text and end matter of the research
report. You have also read about the style and layout of the research report. The
general mistakes committed while writing a research report and the method of
finalizing the text have also been given. Now, answer the questions that follow
in Check Your Progress 2.
Berenson, B. and C. Raymond (1971), Research and Report Writing for Business
and Economics, Random House, New York.
Gatner, E.S.M and C. Francesco (1956), Research and Report Writing, Barnes
& Noble Inc., New York.
Gaum, C.G., H.F. Graves and L. Hoffman (1950), Report Writing, 3rd ed., Prentice
Hall, New York.
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