Divergence Cheat Sheet PDF
Divergence Cheat Sheet PDF
One of the basic tenets of technical analysis is that momentum precedes price.
However, prices never move in a smooth line, and momentum will often be out of
sync with the price.
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In technical analysis, when there is a mismatch between momentum and the actual
price, it’s referred to as a divergence. Traders can exploit these price discrepancies
for profit.
Divergences are concepts that allow investors to spot trend reversal signals in
bullish and bearish markets.
This trading guide takes an in-depth look at what divergence is, the different types
of divergences, and how to trade divergence in the most efficient way.
What is Divergence?
In trading, divergence happens when the price of an asset and the indicator you’re
looking at are moving in opposite directions. In other words, when the price of an
asset is out of sync with the corresponding indicator’s readings, a divergence signal
occurs.
In normal market conditions, the price action of an asset and the technical
indicator moves in the same direction. In other words, when the price prints a new
high, the technical indicator should print a new high as well.
Similarly, when the price prints a new low, the technical indicator should print a
new low. However, when this type of convergence gets out of sync, we get a
divergence.
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For example, we have a divergence signal if the price moves up, but the indicator
moves down or vice-versa.
As you have noticed, divergence is not a technical indicator per se, but it’s a trading
concept. There is no mathematical formula to calculate divergence, but they are
visual tools on the price chart.
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The main purpose of divergences is to signal momentum building up into a trend
and give early reversal signals when there is a slowdown in the momentum
readings.
Divergence doesn’t say when the reversal will happen, but it’s an early warning sign
that the price might actually reverse soon.
Convergence happens when the price of an asset and the indicator you’re looking
at is moving in sync in the same direction. For example, if the price of an asset is
making a new higher low, the indicator should follow the price and print a
corresponding higher low.
To really dig deeper into the market, traders need to understand the foundation of
how price in any market moves.
At the core, asset prices move in a series of higher highs and higher lows when
we’re developing an uptrend. Conversely, when we're developing a downtrend,
asset prices move in a series of lower lows and lower highs.
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The concept of successful trading is to buy low and sell high. In other words, you
have to buy when the price is making a new low and sell when the price makes a
new high.
The concept of divergence can help traders distinguish when it’s a good idea to buy
at a new low and sell at a new high. This is done by studying the divergence signals
– the mismatch between the price and the technical indicator.
The only limitation of divergence is that it doesn’t provide timely trade signals. The
divergence signal can persist longer without price changing direction.
The divergence cheat sheet table below outlines the different types of divergence
and the signals they generate.
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Regular Divergence
Regular divergences can be further classified into regular bullish divergence and
regular bearish divergence:
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Regular bearish divergence happens when we have a disagreement between prices
that are rising (making higher highs) and a technical indicator that is falling
(making lower highs).
The regular bullish divergence is an early sign that the prevailing downtrend will
change direction and turn to the upside. In this regard, the regular bullish
divergence is a buy signal.
Conversely, the regular bearish divergence is an early sign that the prevailing
uptrend is about to change direction and turn to the downside. In this regard, the
regular bearish divergence is a sell signal.
The image below outlines side-by-side the difference between the regular bullish
divergence and regular bearish divergence.
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The ideal place where a regular bullish divergence can develop is at the end of a
downtrend. This type of divergence then naturally leads to an uptrend.
Conversely, the ideal place where a regular bearish divergence can develop is at the
end of an uptrend. This type of divergence then naturally leads to a downtrend.
The hidden divergence doesn’t differ that much from the regular divergence. For a
hidden divergence to happen, we need to see a mismatch between the price and
the technical indicator similar to regular divergence.
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However, while regular divergence signals a possible trend reversal, the hidden
divergence signals the possibility of trend continuation. Hidden divergences tend to
develop within an existing trend.
Usually, hidden divergences indicate that the prevailing trend is still strong enough
to resume itself.
Just like the regular divergence, we can distinguish two different types of hidden
divergence:
Hidden bullish divergence happens when the price is making a higher low, while at
the same time, the indicator is making a corresponding lower low.
The hidden bullish divergence is an early sign that the prevailing uptrend is ready to
resume.
Usually, the hidden bullish divergence signal develops after prices have pulled
back, and now the bulls are ready to control the market again. In this regard, the
hidden bullish divergence is a buy signal.
The image below outlines side-by-side the difference between the hidden bullish
divergence and hidden bearish divergence.
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Usually, the hidden bullish divergence can be observed in uptrends.
Hidden bearish divergence happens when the price is making a lower high, while at
the same time, the indicator is making a corresponding higher high.
The hidden bearish divergence is an early sign that the prevailing downtrend is
ready to resume. Usually, the hidden bearish divergence signal develops after
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prices have pulled back, and now the bears are ready to control the market again.
In this regard, the hidden bearish divergence is a sell signal.
Finding hidden divergences is more difficult because they don’t occur as often as
the regular divergence. However, hidden divergences can tell traders in advance
when the prevailing trend is ready to resume.
Divergence Indicator
Before recognizing regular divergence and hidden divergence and the possible
trend reversal or trend continuation signals, traders need to pick a technical
indicator.
Usually, momentum oscillators like the RSI, Stochastic, MACD, etc., are often used
by retail traders to spot those instances where the price of an asset and the
indicator fails to converge.
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The same way the price of an asset moves up and down, establishing peaks and
valleys, technical indicators converge or diverge from the price making equivalent
peaks and valleys.
Some technical indicators can be applied directly on the price chart or in a separate
window, usually below. Traders can use any oscillator to identify divergence.
The MACD, stochastic, and RSI indicators work best to identify regular divergence.
In contrast, the money flow index (MFI) is a better alternative to identify hidden
divergence. This is true because the money flow index is a trend following indicator.
One of the most popular technical indicators to spot regular divergence and hidden
divergence is the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator.
Divergence RSI
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a leading technical indicator which means it can
precede the price movements. This means that the RSI divergence is a leading
indicator of price action.
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With the RSI indicator, traders can identify both regular divergences and hidden
divergences.
However, the RSI divergences can’t be used as a timing tool. In this case,
candlestick chart patterns can act as a great confirmation signal for the resumption
of the prevailing trend (in the case of RSI hidden divergence) or the trend reversal
(in the case of RSI regular divergence).
Traders can look for long positions if they spot regular RSI bullish divergence or
hidden RSI bullish divergence. Conversely, traders can look for sell positions if they
can identify regular RSI bearish divergence or hidden RSI bearish divergence.
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In this example, traders can see that the price is making a new lower low compared
to the previous swing low point on the price chart. At the same time, the RSI
indicator prints a higher low relative to the previous low printed on the RSI
oscillator.
After forming the lower low on the price chart, the prevailing trend reversed from
bearish to bullish.
The RSI indicator can also help traders spot bullish hidden divergences. The
example below shows price trading in an uptrend. Comparing the swing lows in the
price with the swing lows printed on the RSI oscillator, hidden bullish divergence is
developing on the price chart.
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After forming the higher low on the price chart, the prevailing trend resumes and
moves to new highs.
It’s crucial to understand that the bullish hidden divergence can develop in any
place within the uptrend as long as all the technical conditions are satisfied.
The price makes higher highs in a regular bearish RSI divergence, but the RSI
oscillator prints lower highs.
In the example below, traders can see that the price is making a new higher high
compared to the previous swing high point on the price chart.
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At the same time, the RSI indicator prints a lower high relative to the previous high
printed on the RSI oscillator. Following the RSI bearish divergence, the price started
reversing quickly, and a new trend emerged.
The RSI indicator can also help traders spot bearish hidden divergences.
The example below shows price trading in a downtrend. Comparing the swing
highs in the price with the swing highs printed on the RSI oscillator, a hidden
bearish divergence is developing on the price chart.
Following the hidden bearish divergence, the prevailing bearish trend continued to
the downside.
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Lastly
In summary, traders need to know that regular divergence signals a trend reversal,
while at the same time, the hidden divergence signals a trend continuation.
Trend following traders are better off focusing on identifying hidden divergence as
this will help them ride the overall market trend. Because the hidden divergence is
a trend continuation signal, out of the two types of divergence, the hidden
divergence carries a higher rate of success.
Last but not least, trading divergence works across all time frames; however, the
higher the time frame is, the more reliable the divergence signal tends to be.
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