Chapter 1 Clinical Decision Making
Chapter 1 Clinical Decision Making
INTRODUCTION
Practice of emergency medicine requires rapid and most appropriate decisions to institute
appropriate treatment and improve patient outcome. It demands proficiency in the following
areas:
– Thorough and efficient data gathering
– Appropriate diagnostic approach
– Management decision making
– Most cost-effectiveness
DIAGNOSTIC APPROACH
Medical inquiry (data gathering): Data gathering must be done through
– History taking, examination, diagnostic testing
– Ensure not to jump to technology until it is a must or clinical judgment is equivocal
– Clinical decision making: It is of utmost importance to utilize the above data to evaluate,
diagnose, and manage.
One thing we do know about decision-making is that experienced clinicians perform better than
novices i.e., practice at clinical decision-making appears to improve performance. This fits with
what we know about error type and provider proficiency. Over time there are progressively fewer
knowledge-based errors. After an appropriate learning period, usually in the order of about five
to ten years, rule acquisition is optimal and thereafter rule-based errors go into decline. The
downside of becoming an expert is that skill-based errors gradually increase to a greater or lesser
extent.
The most reasonable explanation for the improvements that we see over time is experience per
se i.e., it does not appear that the decision-making of experienced clinicians improves because
they have been reading about, or taking courses on critical thinking or decision-making. In fact,
there is very little emphasis in medical training on decision-making, and precious few
postgraduate or Continuing Medical Education courses on the topic. Most clinicians have never
taken such courses, and only a handful ever read articles on decision-making.
VARIOUS MENTAL BIASES OR DEFILEMENTS
Cognitive biases or Cognitive Contributions to Diagnostic Error
Avoid jumping to a conclusion- Everyone is prone to taking mental shortcuts when thinking
through difficult problems, and experts say physicians are no exception. Here are a few of the
cognitive biases that can lead to diagnostic errors.
• Anchoring bias: Locking on to salient features in a patient's initial presentation too early in
the diagnostic process and failing to adjust in light of later information.
• Availability bias: Judging things as being more likely if they readily come to mind; for
example, a recent experience with a disease may increase the likelihood of it being diagnosed.
• Confirmation bias: Looking for evidence to support a diagnosis rather than looking for
evidence that might rebut it.
• Diagnosis momentum: Allowing a diagnosis label that has been attached to a patient, even if
only as a possibility, to gather steam so that other possibilities are wrongly excluded.
• Overconfidence bias: Believing we know more than we do, and acting on incomplete
information, intuitions and hunches.
• Premature closure: Accepting a diagnosis before it has been fully verified.
• Search-satisfying bias: Calling off a search once something is found.
Systemic Flaws or System-Related Contributions to Diagnostic Error
Beyond the doctor's control – Nearly two-thirds of missed or delayed diagnoses involve systems-
related problems that can make it harder for physicians to reach the correct diagnosis. Here are
areas of failure and the problems they represent:
• Policies and procedures: Lack of protocols exist to ensure appropriate follow-up.
• Inefficient processes: There are unnecessary delays in scheduling clinic visits or procedures.
• Teamwork: Needed information or skills go unshared.
• Management: Studies are not read in time; x-rays are lost or misplaced.
• Care coordination: Consult requests are lost or not acted upon promptly.
• Equipment: Test instruments are faulty, mis-calibrated or unavailable.
• Supervision: There is a failure to oversee trainees properly.
• Expertise: Required specialists are not available
in a timely fashion. Etiology of Diagnostic Error:
No-fault errors
Although diagnostic error can never be eliminated,
Masked or unusual presentation of
studies have identified the common causes of
disease
diagnostic error in medicine. The high prevalence of Patient-related error (uncooperative,
system-related factors offers the opportunity to deceptive)
reduce diagnostic errors if health care institutions System-related errors
accept the responsibility of addressing these Technical failure and equipment problems
factors. Devising strategies for reducing cognitive Organizational flaws
errors is a more complex problem. To conclude, Cognitive errors
given below is the key messages for health workers Faulty knowledge
in the emergency rooms. Faulty data gathering
DIFFERENTIAL DIAGNOSES
• Requires highest level of clinical decision making.
• Involves development of hypotheses.
• Supports use of medical knowledge to create new solutions.
• Cues from history, exam, and testing.
• Hypothesis (differential diagnosis) generation.
• Hypothesis evaluation & refinement.
– Data gathering to confirm/exclude hypothesis.
– Add new diagnostic hypothesis based on new data.
– Hypothesis verification.
– Choose and verify most likely diagnosis.
Benefits/strategies:
– Consider uncommon diagnoses
– Avoid premature judgement
– Avoid labeling with diagnosis that does not “fit”.
Event-Driven Process
• Treatment before definitive dx determined
• Commonly used for the unstable patient
• Decision making switches from evaluation of diagnostic possibilities to courses of action
– Rule out “worst case scenario”.