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Network Modelling

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Network Modelling

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© © All Rights Reserved
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Network modelling and

evaluation of simple systems


Series Systems

A B
RA RB
QA QB
RS=?

QS=?

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Series Systems

A B

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Series Systems
Example 4.1
A system consists of 10 identical components, all of which must work for system success. What is the
system reliability if each component has a reliability of 0.95?

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Example 4.1
Series Systems
A system consists of 10 identical components, all of which must work for system success. What is the
system reliability if each component has a reliability of 0.95?

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Example 4.2
Series Systems
A two component series system contains identical components each having a reliability of 0.99.
Evaluate the unreliability of the system.

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Example 4.3
Series Systems
A system design requires 200 identical components in series. If the overall reliability must not be less
than 0.99, what is the minimum reliability of each component?

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Parallel System RA
A QA

RB
B QB

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Parallel RA
System QA
A
RB
QB
B

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Parallel Systems
Example 4.4
A system consists of four components in parallel having reliabilities of 0.99,0.95,0.98 and 0.97. What
is the reliability and unreliability of the system?

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Parallel Systems
Example 4.5
A system component has a reliability of 0.8. Evaluate the effect on the overall system reliability of
increasing the number of these components connected in parallel.

Percentage
Number of System Incremental
Comparative
Components Reliability Reliability
Reliability
1 0.8 - -
2
3
4
5
6

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Parallel Systems
Example 4.5
A system component has a reliability of 0.8. Evaluate the effect on the overall system reliability of
increasing the number of these components connected in parallel.

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Parallel Systems
Example 4.6
A system is to be designed with an overall reliability of 0.999 using components having individual
reliabilities of 0.7. What is the minimum number of components that must be connected in parallel?

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Series-Parallel Systems
Example 4.7
Derive a general expression for the reliability of the model shown in Figure 4.5 and hence evaluate the
system reliability if all components have a reliability of 0.9.

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Partially Redundant Systems
Example 4.8
Derive a general expression for the unreliability of the system whose reliability model is shown in
Figure 4.9. Consider the case in which all parallel branches of this system are fully redundant with the
exception of that consisting of components 4, 5 and 6 for which any 2 of the branches are required for
system success.

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Standby redundant systems
Redundancy concepts

(a) Computer System (b) Control of motor/pump

Fig. 4.11 Redundancy modes. (a) Parallel redundancy. (b) Standby redundancy

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Standby redundant systems Redundant system
Redundancy concepts: (b) Control of motor/pump example
Standby redundant systems
• Perfect Switching
• Imperfect Switching

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Standby redundant systems
Perfect Switching

Q=?

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Bayes’
Theorem
𝑃(𝐴 ∩ B)
B
B
A

G. Subbarayan, Purdue
If events 𝐴 and 𝐵 are independent

G. Subbarayan, Purdue
Standby redundant systems
Perfect Switching

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Standby redundant systems
Imperfect Switching

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Standby redundant systems
Imperfect Switching
• Situation 1:
Switch can fail during
changeover

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and


Standby redundant systems 1’s unreliability: go to previous slide

Imperfect Switching
• Situation 2:
Switch can fail during changeover as well as during initial
operating position

Roy Billinton in Reliability Evaluation in Engineering Systems: Concept and

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