GARCH and Multivariate LSTM forecasting models for Bitcoin realized volatility with potential applications in crypto options trading, hedging, portfolio management, and risk management
Traditionally, volatility is modeled using parametric models. This project focuses on predicting EUR/USD volatility using more flexible, machine-learning methods.
This repository includes the scripts to replicate the results of my WORKING paper entitled "A False Discovery Rate Approach to Optimal Volatility Forecasting Model Selection". Access the article here https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3737477
Modelling volatility and dependency. Risk Modelling using different approaches, such as with Extreme Value Theory and risk-factor mapping. Based on labs in Financial Risk Management at Liu.
In this notebook, I've loaded historical Dollar-Yen exchange rate futures data. I've applied time series analysis and modeling to determine whether there is any predictable behavior.
The project aims to profile stocks with similar weekly percentage returns using K-Means Clustering. The project calculates realized volatility for each stock and predicts realized volatility for each stock using classical volatility models and machine learning models and comparing their performance. This is a capstone project for CIVE 7100 Time Series and Geospatial Data Sciences.
Repository for code used in my bachelor-thesis with the title: "Analyse der Prediction-Power von Recurrent Neural Networks am Beispiel von Finanzmarktdaten"